1️⃣ The blue line shows the S&P 500 Total Return Index (with dividends reinvested) from 1989 to May 2025, while the black line represents the long-term 10% annualized growth trend.
2️⃣ Three major turning points stand out:
- March 2000: Dot-com bubble peak, followed by a steep downturn.
- March 2009: Global financial crisis bottom, sparking a strong rebound.
- 2022–2023: Market correction, before returning above trend in 2024.
3️⃣ Despite bubbles bursting, financial crises, and pandemic shocks, the S&P 500 has consistently oscillated around its 10% annualized growth path.
The golden rule for long-term investors is once again confirmed: volatility is temporary, growth is the main theme.
Data source: Creative Planning (as of May 2025)
For this market, keep an eye on NVDA, MAAS, BMNR, CRWV
https://i.redd.it/s0yxpzbkfrlf1.png
Posted by North_Reflection1796
7 Comments
Negative, the dollar keeps debasing.
and here’s my bags…at the end. lol
Ah yes the tried and true time in the market.
But how about those weekly calls 👀👀🥵🥵
Pesamistic but if republicans control the fed. How well do we see this going? Political post or not. This is an actual issue thta could hit the stock market in weird ways.
We will get rich. S&P is unstoppable, look at the gains since march…. It’s crazy…. 💰
That’s because we made up the concept of money…. None of this is real. The world is like 130 trillion dollars in debt. Debt to who? Saturn?
It’s literally rigged to go up by the tenets of inflation… The question is not the OVERALL direction, but what is your time horizon, and what is happening in the market as you approach the end of said time horizon. You invest and then you divest into security as you near completion. This ONLY holds if you are very diversified and becomes more volatile and riskier the less diversified you are.
Temporary dips can happen during recessions/depressions, or when the economy fails to increase the median national wages for people to have money to spend whilst costs increase due to said inflation – this can lead to businesses going under, in which they just fall off and get replaced on the index by a more resilient business and things resume their upward trajectory.
An interesting phenomena is set to happen where the increased conglomeration and the rise of tech is leading to even the index being less diversified while still LOOKING diversified, but consisting mostly of tech, because everyone is effectively partners or working together to some degree. This is very dangerous for the market and could lead to the most dangerous bubble possible, but the time horizon for that is still a while coming. If that happens, it’s pretty much instant Great Depression, since nearly everyone’s 401ks are tied to some degree to the SP500.