Am I missing anything or is everything wildly high right now? Nasdaq stocks are super high, s&p500 is super high, gold is super high, Bitcoin is super high. How are we supposed to hedge against a drop if everything is white hot? I guess keeping more in cash but that feels like a waste, surely there's something undervalued right now?
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if you want to hedge the UVXY looks like a good play right now
They are high but I can guarantee I’m way higher
If your time horizon is long (10-30+ years) it doesn’t matter. Buy as much as you can when you can. DCA’ing has been proven to be better than trying to time the market.
Have you tried zooming out the s&p chart?
>I guess keeping more in cash
Ok continue sitting out trying to time the market
Due to inflation and population growth, everything at its peak is normal market function
S&P500 is ~5% below the February ATH if you look at returns expressed almost any currency that isn’t USD.
I would say around 2035 things will begin to get high and maybe a pull back
Zoom out, the market unusually near or at ATH
Anything AI related is at insane valuation.
Anything else is not overpriced at all. Many stocks trading at same price compared to 5 years ago. Ex: CRM.
BTC is not that high compared to 2021 inflation adjusted
Bonds are a bit low right now. Prices have fallen with interest rates rising. Especially for long term US treasuries. Interest rates are comfortably above inflation, and any lowering of the fed interest rates will cause the price to rise. Of course if the interest and inflation rates climb like in the 70s, prices and the value of the dollar will tank even further.
Guess who wish they bought yesterday….. the best time to buy a house was 5,10,15 years ago.
Always has been
It’s a fair question, when everything looks hot, it’s easy to feel stuck.
But instead of chasing tops or sitting in cash, focus on what’s misunderstood, not just what’s cheap.
Zoom out, play long-term, and remember: smart positioning > perfect timing. 🎯📊
Put in limit orders, laddered with increasing quantity as prices increasing dropped. The market is volatile and you still can avoid buy high sell low. This is smart buying and it is not market timing. You still can have enough time in the market, and it beats blindly buy arbitrarily on any particular day.
RemindMe! One Year
Guess what’s not high…
If it looks and feels like a melt up, its probably just that
Youre like a month and a half late on this one. The market already considered your position and has decided its going to go higher. Markets are almost always at ATH’s, its nothing weird. Tons of value out there, of course.
Bitcoin is not close to its peak and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are not close to where they will be EOY. Costco is down. Plenty of opportunities
I stocked up on VIX calls. It’s currently very low considering the possible upcoming turnoil.
If everything goes to hell, VIX will shoot up.
Insurance companies are neglected (and they provide downturn protection)
I’m with you. P/E ratios on US stocks are at record highs. Company profits are at record (and unsustainable) highs. I really feel the need to protect more of my money, but interest rates on GICs are barely above inflation. What to do?
I remember when I started investing in 2018, everything was at all time highs. There were posts worded exactly like this. Now all those prices at that time are puny compared to what they are now. Other than the meme stocks of that era which at the time were weed stocks like Canopy. It might go higher, it might not. No one knows.
Not silver.
FENY is down lol
Energy and energy stocks historically cheap
Healthcare isn’t much higher, compared to everything
Imagine holding on to cash in 2025
By no means is everything at its peak. Check out BMY and PFE (big drug stocks) . And most oil and refining companies.
I agree that a lot of “non-growth” stocks are priced with growth-level P/E’s so I think you may easily see some dramatically lower re-valuation of some of them, but I have no idea how to predict when the market will notice that a particular stock “has no clothes!”