Is it possible that the alt season and, more generally, this market cycle could peak in October or November? With the likely rate cut on September 17, the approval of more altcoin ETFs, and the possibility of seeing more and more tokenized assets, as well as ETH and BTC being listed on NASDAQ, don’t you think all these potential bullish catalysts could overheat the cycle and drive us to new highs, before entering a correction phase or even a bear market? Or do you think that, beyond a short period of correction or accumulation, we’ll continue to see new all-time highs?
NEW ATH in September and November than bear market?
byu/Giacominopanevin0 inCryptoMarkets
Posted by Giacominopanevin0
10 Comments
No one knows. Maybe alt season is a thing of the past
Hard to predict, I think the best move is to DCA into coins you think will survive and grow long term
WallStreet is here, they pretty much ruin everything. I believe a top is sometime in the next 60 days though
It happened twice with an interval of 4 years that btc crashed. And now we collectively agreed that those are defined cycles, and we all act accordingly to that. And I believe that is what will keep those cycles going… Its crazy but I strongly believe we create this next cycle ourselves, while the other bears just happened organically
Your rationale is dismissing a second rate cut planned for this year. The market is already banking on a rate cut on Sept 17. I think the price is baked in. Now if the second rate cut happens in December then is that a catalyst for new ATHs? Hard to tell because retail is struggling with inflation and a poor job market.
If anyone tells you they know, they are lying. Sentiment is still great in general at the moment so its possible this runs deep into 2026.
You’ve listed the right bullish catalysts, but cycle tops are usually driven by widespread public mania, not just good news.
The key question is whether we’ll see that level of retail FOMO and a true “blow-off top” happen by November. What’s your read on the market’s current sentiment—does it feel truly euphoric and overheated to you yet?
I thought that was clear all along. Just the normal 4 year cycle. Don’t let the market stress you
I’m inclined to believe this is where the narrative is going. Meaning the final run will be Q1 2026
SPX6900 will rise the highest in the bull and fall hardest in the bear
What is the crowd wisdom for when the top
Is most likely to be? Late October, maybe November? Sometimes these things are self-fulfilling prophecies, but now with Wall Street involved the opposite tends to happen.
Everyone was predicting a big September slide for BTC, but looks like the dip happened at the end of August this time around, catching people off guard.
Similarly I see lots of chatter about Oct, Nov top and people planning to take on short positions at that time to insure their stacks.
I think it’s highly probably price gets pinned at an “underwhelming” level to end November and then a blow off top occurs late this year and into 2026 again catching people timing profit taking and shorts/puts off guard.