I've been trying to short the market for the last year and lost half of my portfolio to it (roughly $200k). Every time I was starting to make profit I was soon getting obliterated. I tried shorting TSLA which is valued at more that all other auto companies combined; got burned with PLTR which has P/E of over 500; lost money with SPY puts and so on. I am no longer trying to be rational. There is no connection between the markets and the state of the economy.
I just bought SPY with x3 leverage with all that I have left and I'm never going to short again.
Printer go brrr. Stonks only go up.
Surrender of a permabear
byu/Lastuniquenaem inwallstreetbets
Posted by Lastuniquenaem
48 Comments
This is the top
i’ve been bear for 2 months ish now. at this point our losses are just going back in to put SPY higher.
just stay cash.do not ever short.
We did it Reddit, for the first time in history we’ve found the exact mathematical peak of a bubble down to the minute.
I just took half my nebius gains. Why TF would you curse the market like this? Please be more careful in the future
Recession loading in 3,2,1
this is the real top signal
Maybe what you think is rational is just retarded?
“Hey, there is a bubble”
He capitulated, dump it!
It’s gonna be a bear market now, you’ll live in regret
If you have enough collateral (at least 400k) just sell options. You can hedge more easily and with incremental profits. Timing the market either by shorting, or by 3x leverage is a coinflip. Your new ‘plan’ is no better than your last.
“The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent”
-John Keynes
Printer go brrr. Stonks only go up.
Just when you were about to be right you switched sides. Even a broken clock is right at least once a year
Time to sell everything
Thanks for reassuring me that my long dated puts are fine
Ber capitulation = top
https://preview.redd.it/0efezstoqcof1.jpeg?width=960&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7db7581ee062c4693a6e50e2b14f1927df1c981b
Too much liquidity, I think the next “crash” will be a whipsawing dollar devaluing slow walk of tears. As long as there is money on the sidelines then the dips will get bought. The threat of inflation also keeps people in stocks.
Why would you even be bearish on a company like Palantir when their buddies are literally in the WH 😭
What are you gonna do after you lose the other half of your portfolio to the upcoming bear market?
Let me guess, you didn’t cash in on April 4th and got greedy instead?
If you stop thinking about stocks as the value of a company and start thinking about the extraction of money from the poor to the rich, then the stock market always rising starts to make a lot more sense.
At least wait for the CPI print tomorrow before going full bull. Also FOMC meeting in 1 week. Hold out one more week for these pivotal moments
Hate to break it to you but buying a 3x leveraged spy at the ATH is asking for trouble. You gotta buy dips, the ones that made you think to buy puts.
Powell’s Plunge Protection Team about to get reamed.
vix literally went 1% up after this was posted
https://preview.redd.it/n64btjcuucof1.jpeg?width=828&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e68e50d931d4805e99595677f884157686cb22f7
FBI: He bought, crash it now.
BRB, buying puts
https://preview.redd.it/85x7w9bsvcof1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2c1fa0ba3c7e6d5404592290d7d57cf82b370fb0
This seems appropriate
>act regarded
>fail
>”I’ve learnt my lesson”
>act even mor regardeder
https://preview.redd.it/867ho2ziwcof1.jpeg?width=360&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f226954bed5a273d8d0f661aa590ba560c34524f
lol you picked a hell of a time to do this move.
Top’s in, lads. Pack it up.
The top is in. Thanks for the signal.
Capitulation of the bears is the first sign of a crashing market
I’m a ber and bought a call today.
The top really is in.
so we can quit holding up this shit economy now? thought this guy would never give.
Okay All in PUTS TY OP for your sacrifice!
Shorts opened! Starting with SBUX
top is in
Look man I feel your pain trust me I do…. but you are literally throwing in the towel at the worst possible time…It’s here…. and yes I know how it sounds but it will be biblical….. all data is cooked beyond parody, consumer is smoked…. that said NEVER short indexes until the crash is underway…. by example im making an absolute killing on AAPL puts today…. more than covers the last few months of gapping ive received but even still I am a week or so away from actually shorting SPY…. its just too strong but when it comes it will be quick…
Oh boy the top is in you killed the stock market dude
SPY has been rallying non stop on the rumours of rate cuts, and this dude is giving up just before everyone sells the news.
WSB perma bears becoming bullish is the most bearish signal i’ve seen in a long time.
HOLY SHIT TOP IS IN BROTHER I JUST BOUGHT CALLS BRB SELLING WVERYTHING AND BUYING PUTS
Puts it is.
Between this post and Cramer pulling a 180 on NBIS, I think we’re at an inflection point for the market.