For the record, my compiling is only for personal/hobby amusement, so I never intend to aim for anything professional. I realized that compiling data before the year 2000 is easier said than done, especially with my language barrier. Unless otherwise indicated, all figures correspond to 1970. Of course, you are more than welcome to ask or contribute additional statistics. This post aims to assess whether demographic data alone, with minimal info on Chile's government structure, could predict the political polarization that occurred in the Allende presidency and the 1973 coup. Anyway, thank you very much in advance!
1. Demography
- Total population: 9.559 million
- Population of Santiago: 2.82 million (29.5% of total population)
- Annual population growth rate since 1969: 1.7%
- Migration rate: 0.6/1000
- Median age: 19.7 years
- Age structure: 39.6% less than 15, 55.2% between 15–65, and 5.2% more than 65
- Dependency ratio: 72% of the 15+ aged population
- Total fertility rate: 3.8 births per woman
- Sex ratio: 48.9% males; the rest were female
- Crude birth rate: 27.3/1000
- Crude death rate: 8.7/1000
- Total births: 267,609
- Total deaths: 83,014
2. Health
- Life expectancy from birth: 62.6 years (59.8 for men, 65.7 for women)
- Infant mortality rate: 73/1000 live births
- Child mortality: 84.9/1000 live births
- Maternal mortality rate: 16.8/10,000 live births
- Top causes of deaths: 53.7% non-communicable diseases (Cirrhosis = 5% of deaths), approximately 23.5% under age 1
- Physician density: 0.463/1000
- 1969 caloric intake per person: over 50% had 1600 calories per day, 25% had 2100 calories per day
- Estimated homicide rate: ~5/100,000
- Pure alcohol consumed for 15+ aged population: 8.6 liters per capita
3. Education
- Illiteracy rate: 11.7%
- Overall school attendance regardless of age: 79.8%
- primary education gross enrollment rate: 119%
- primary education completion rate: ~79.9%
- Secondary education gross enrollment rate: ~44.7%
- Secondary education: 38% of youth aged 15-18
- Gross university enrollment rate: ~8.3%
- Average years of completed schooling, ages 25-64: ~6
4. Labor
- Formal labor participation rate: 49.4% (21.7% for women)
- Formal unemployment rate: 5.7%
- Unionization rate: 29% (private sector)
- Workforce breakdown by occupation types: (~total of 2.7 million, which includes employees, self-employed, and employers, but excluding the unemployed):
- Agriculture/forestry/fishing: 570k (~21%)
- Mining: 81k (~3%)
- Manufacturing: 446k (~16.5%)
- Construction: 175k (~6.5%)
- Utilities: 20k (<1%)
- Transportation/communication/storage: 166k (~6%)
- Banking/insurance/finance: 45k (~1.7%)
- Hotels/restaurants/hospitality: 302k (~11%)
- Personal, local, social services: 649k (~24%)
- Others: 241k (~9%)
5. Economy
- GDP per capita: $940.61 ($7,600 USD 2024)
- Annual GDP growth rate: 3.6%
- Total GDP: $9.14 billion ($73.85 billion 2024 USD)
- Inflation rate: 34.9%
- Total public debt to GDP ratio: 32%
- Fiscal deficit to GDP ratio: 6.7%
- Gini coefficient: ~0.50
- Distribution of formal income:
- Bottom 40% : 11.5%
- Middle 40%: 32.7%
- Top 20%: 55.8%
- Poverty rate (Chilean government standard): 21%
- Minimum Wage: 617.41 escudos/per month ≈ $41/month (1970 USD) ≈ $331/month (2024 USD)
Site for USD inflation calculator: https://www.in2013dollars.com/us/inflation/1970?endYear=2024
6. Infrastructure and Technology
- Urbanization rate: 75%
- Housing in 1960: 50% of homes had no more than 2 rooms, 50% lacked access to piped water
- Electricity access: 52% (overall; both urban and rural)
- Clean water access: 67% in urban areas
- Motored vehicles by the mid-1960s: over 350k (half of which were passenger vehicles)
- Television: 374k sets
- Radio in 1960: more than 1 million sets used
- Books published in 1959: 1,400 separate titles
7. Civics
- Eligible voting population: 5.198 million
- Registered voters: 3.792 million
- Votes turned out: 2.923 million (~56.2% of the eligible population)
- Marriage registration rate: 7.3/1000
- Religious affiliation: 80.88% Catholics, 6.22% protestants, 0.42% other religions, 1.95% “without religion”, 10.48% “no response”
Can Demographic Data from 1970 Chile Predict Its Subsequent Polarization?
byu/Straight-Ad-4215 inAskEconomics
Posted by Straight-Ad-4215