Bitcoin’s been under pressure these past weeks — breaking below key support levels and showing a clear loss of momentum on higher timeframes: weekly MACD has flipped negative, RSI is heading into the 40s, and price structure now shows lower highs, while ETF flows have turned mixed, with net inflows now negative.
At the same time, we’re not (yet) in a confirmed long-term bear market. Long-term holders are distributing more than usual, but macro conditions and liquidity cycles could still shift the picture quickly if demand reappears.
So the big question is: are we looking at a temporary mid-cycle correction or the early stages of a real bear phase?
Curious to hear how others are positioning. Are you buying dips, waiting for confirmation, or preparing for a deeper retrace?
What’s your take on Bitcoin right now? Trend break or deeper cycle reset?
byu/Desperate-Hurry-3205 inCryptoMarkets
Posted by Desperate-Hurry-3205
8 Comments
Nobody really knows because this this market is being manipulated from so many angles.
Breakout to the upside
This is simply an orderly market correction. The true, chaotic selling and existential panic of a bear phase are far more dramatic.
Something about that 100k number. Pretty confident we’ll get near 100k and reject hard again. From there, I’m not sure.
I think we’re reaching 100k before 2026, then continue to push higher!
honestly looks like more downside coming. negative ETF flows and broken support levels are serious red flags. not calling a bear market yet but definitely not buying until we see actual demand return
Were in a bear now. The fed cut excitement is just liquidity for big players. Look at the chart and look at last cycle. Next drop will be jan/feb
Long term bullish is the only real answer I’ve found. When? Impossible to know. Will it outperform SPY if you hold and dca? I believe it will for the next few years or longer.