This Is Actually Happening on Bitcoin.

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    18 Comments

    1. You don't think that whale count is influenced by etf adoption? Dont they hold a certain amount across different wallets or something? Seems like that would make the chart less meaningful…

    2. 🎯 Key points for quick navigation:

      00:00 πŸ‹ Long-term Bitcoin whales (holding 1,000+ BTC for 7+ years) have sold over 5% of circulating supply in the past 3 months, historically signaling major corrections
      00:27 πŸ“‰ Previous similar whale selling patterns in December 2017 and April 2021 preceded 75-85% bear market drawdowns, while March 2024 led to a 30% correction
      00:56 πŸ“ˆ Nearly 100 new large wallets accumulated 1,000+ BTC each in the past month, similar to early 2024 before a 90% rally in 2 months
      02:15 πŸ’§ Bitcoin's stablecoin reserve ratio has dropped to 1.0, meaning $1 in stablecoin buying power exists for every $1 of Bitcoin market value
      02:44 🎯 The ratio falling below 1.5 has historically coincided with key Bitcoin bottoms, suggesting strong liquidity support for future price increases
      03:39 🏦 Vanguard (world's second-largest asset manager with $11 trillion) now allows crypto ETF trading, opening Bitcoin to retirement accounts and conservative long-term capital
      04:37 πŸ”„ New persistent demand from institutional channels is layering on top of existing deep on-chain liquidity, creating asymmetric upside potential
      05:21 βš–οΈ Current market shows transition phase where long-term holder supply is being absorbed by new buyer class, not simple bullish/bearish signal
      05:35 ⚠️ Bitcoin has lost short-term momentum with a death cross signal, indicating continued selling pressure despite positive fundamentals
      06:04 🎒 Six death crosses since 2019 all saw Bitcoin rally back to long-term moving average (currently around $109,000), suggesting key level to watch

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    3. Yeah the 4 year cycle scam. Tell me something I don't know. These scammers are in short positions on Weex or some other bullshit exchange…

    4. $109k? Good luck with that. There is no catalyst for bitcoin to gain $20k in price. Saylor bought a ton of bitcoin and the market didn't care at all. We got the rate cut everyone wanted and bitcoin is still negative today. "Six members of the Fed would have preferred not to cut rates Wednesday. Looking ahead to next year, seven believe no cuts are needed in 2026."

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