The Difference Between Noise and Real Momentum in Memecoins

One of the hardest things in memecoins isn’t finding tokens — it’s figuring out what actually matters.

There’s noise everywhere. Random charts breaking out for five minutes. X posts with bought likes and recycled memes. Telegram groups spamming price targets with zero discussion behind them. It all looks like “momentum” at first glance, but most of it disappears as fast as it shows up.

Real momentum feels different.

It usually starts quietly. A coin name popping up in multiple unrelated Telegram groups. People asking real questions instead of shouting numbers. Small conversations forming before any big chart move happens. That’s the phase where attention is being built, not forced.

Noise is loud but shallow. Real momentum spreads naturally.

Charts can be manipulated. Engagement on X can be boosted. Even holder data can be made to look clean. But it’s much harder to fake organic attention across different communities over time. When you see the same project being discussed by different people, for different reasons, in different places — that’s when it’s worth paying attention.

Lately I’ve been focusing less on predicting pumps and more on filtering out noise. Tools like Outlight fun help with that shift — not by telling you what to buy, but by showing where conversations are actually happening. It doesn’t replace research or judgment, but it helps narrow the field to things that are genuinely gaining attention.

Memecoins are chaotic by nature. There’s no perfect signal. But learning to separate noise from real momentum — and understanding that attention comes before price — has been one of the biggest improvements in how I approach this space.