I’ve been watching Broadcom (AVGO) closely, and it feels like the debate around this stock has quietly shifted.
This isn’t really about “is Broadcom a good company?” anymore almost everyone agrees it is.
The real question seems to be:
Has the market already priced in too much perfection?
Here’s where I see the split:
Bull case:
Strong AI networking + custom silicon exposure
Massive backlog with hyperscaler customers
Software cash flows (VMware) supporting buybacks and dividends
Management with a long track record of execution
Bear case:
Valuation already assumes sustained AI capex with no hiccups
AI related products may pressure margins near term
Backlog ≠ guaranteed revenue timing
If AI spending cools even slightly, there’s not much valuation cushion
What makes AVGO tricky is that it’s not a hype stock it’s a disciplined compounder but it’s now being priced like an AI must-win.
So I’m curious how others here think about it:
Is AVGO fairly valued given its consistency and cash flow, or
Is this one of those names where “great company” ≠ “great entry price” right now?
Not trying to push a trade genuinely interested in how long term investors here are framing the risk/reward at these levels.
AVGO: High-Quality Compounder or AI Valuation Trap? Curious Where r/stocks Lands
byu/Particular_Tax_9436 instocks
Posted by Particular_Tax_9436
2 Comments
i did a little research, avgo has the 2nd best asceding trendline among nvda, google, amd, mu etc…
the current trandline slope is high, but not super alarming.
mu’s is very alarming
I think its grown a lot, and there’s more room to shrink than there is to grow. It’s probably still going to grow but I think it’s a significantly riskier investment today than it was a year ago and for that reason a sold a very big chunk of my position a few weeks ago.