What Are Your Bold Predictions for 2026?

I was thinking it would be fun to do 3 Bold Predictions for 2026 that we can look back on a year from now. Everything always looks obvious in retrospect but actually making economic predictions that turn out to be correct is extremely difficult.

Only rule is that it has to be a somewhat controversial hot take on something related to economics, politics, or markets. For example, saying *“The 10-year treasury yield will stay under 10% for the entire year”* or *“The unemployment rate will stay above 1% all year”* aren’t hot takes. The probability of the predicted outcome needs to be 60% or less.

This is my list:

1) SpaceX becomes the first company in history to have an IPO Valuation over $1 Trillion but the value will be cut in half before the end of the year

2) PLTR growth accelerates but the stock finishes the year down 50% or more after lawsuits reveal that their technology was used to illegally target dozens of US Citizens for deportation without a warrant or due process.

3) Morningstar DBRS will downgrade US Credit Rating to AA+ and Debt to GDP rises above 150% for the first time in history.