I want to keep my money safe and I think it has to be ETF, but also I like swing trading with individual stocks, I believe that Intel will go big after China attack Taiwan and America will focus on making their own semiconductors. Electric cars are the future and maybe Elon will be close becoming the first ever trillionaire, Oracle wants to go big as well with their data centers. USA will control Venezuela so Chevron might go big too, I have no idea I still searching for some info how petrol barrels work and their economy. Saudi wants to control the eintermening industry so Ubisoft is cheap at the moment eventually the french family that owns it will sell their soul to the Saudis or maybe who knows to the Chinese and I can make some profit from that.
Thoughts ? Is my logic good ?
Is my logic good enough for swing trading ?
byu/IhateEfrickingA instocks
Posted by IhateEfrickingA
14 Comments
It’s about expected value. What you’re doing is active rather than passive and it underperforms a passive approach.
If you get all of this right, you might as well play the lottery…
No
Sounds more like gambling than investing
I got you. Take an amount you don’t mind using and put it into your brokerage of choice. Use it to learn. If you lose it all, dont fucking throw more shit in that you can’t afford to lose!!!
That’s how I learned. Not saying I am a pro or got rich by the way. Just wanted something to do lol. Would buy in for upcoming events, reversals and whatever.
Also look into Venezuela’s infrastructure. I read it is pretty shit and will take a lot of money and time to get the end product moving. May be better to see who is going to do the infrastructure work.
You wrote mostly speculative judgments. I am not a swing trader, but I imagine it entails more than that.
“After China attack Taiwan” – if this happens the world will enter a deep depression
You think you’re the first person to notice this factors and have a better sense of how these factors will affect the rest of the market than everyone else? Just VTI & chill.
Sounds flawless to me.
Full disclosure I’m an idiot.
Do it. Make Nana proud
Maybe monkeys will fly out of my butt so im gonna invest in bannanas.
most of these arent even swing trades, but long term conviction plays.
1) *Electric cars are the future and maybe Elon will be close becoming the first ever trillionaire* – probably yes, and he will be the first “western” capitalist to reach 1T, but it won’t be because of his cars, TSLA is already pivoting from cars as it’s losing substantial market share in electric cars all over the world – not a swing trade
2) *Oracle wants to go big as well with their data centers* – they certainly want to do that, but it doesn’t seem to be working well for them, most of their valuation stems from huge accounts receivable, which i dont think is ever gonna happen, since the numbers are not sustainable – not a swing trade
3) *USA will control Venezuela so Chevron might go big too* – venezuela is in horrible state, it will take a decade to scale up production, but for companies to even invest the country has to be stable (which it isn’t, how long are gonna americans hang around). The invasion was possibly unlawful and a lot of things could happen, like the next administration leaving the country, its not worth to invest billions for 3 years only. Also venezuelan oil is low quality, and oil prices are low. – definitely not a swing trade
4) *Saudi wants to control the entertaining industry so Ubisoft is cheap at the moment eventually the french family that owns it will sell their soul to the Saudis* – Ubisoft is in deep shit as they can’t produce a single good game, are Saudis gonna change that? – possibly a swing play should there be an acquisition, but that seems like betting to me
5) I *believe that Intel will go big after China attack Taiwan and America will focus on making their own semiconductors -* Should that ever happen, the west will be cut off from state of the art chip production and yes, Intel might take TSMC’s place but it will take years. The price of the whole tech sector would probably dump quite a lot, intel included since its not clear they will even overcome their financial problems. If you were to only swing trade this and not wait 10 years for INTL to do something, it’s better to short TSMC.
Do not trade on hope or personal conviction based on emotions. Trade on events that force revaluation of an asset, also called episodic pivots.
Search “post earnings announcement drift” (PEAD) and “episodic pivot”
Read Qullamaggie.com
> I want to keep my money safe
> I like swing trading
These statements are mutually exclusive.