For me, this is a probability-based view of price action. We are currently in a strong bull run in commodities. If geopolitical tensions ease or wars come to an end, it could trigger a corrective move in XAUUSD. On the other hand, if a new conflict or escalation emerges, it could fuel further upside.
    This type of scenario analysis can fail, which is why the approach should differ by role. If you are an investor, the focus should be on buying dips and gradual accumulation, as commodities historically do not correct more than 40–50% over the long term. If you are a trader, the objective is not prediction but trading probabilities with controlled risk, aligning trades with the prevailing price direction.

    The market has completed the retrashment levels for second rally and iam short below that yellow marked zone of 5,000$-5,100$

    https://i.redd.it/3qjj8cpo3mhg1.jpeg

    Posted by Crafty_Resort644

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