The Secret Reason Behind Bitcoin’s Crash (And What Actually Matters)

    Bitcoin’s crash off its all time high and then its sudden crash last week. It left many people stunned and it took a couple days. But now we have the data to see exactly what happened and why. Now everyone’s had a theory, right? Some say it was a Hong Kong fund, a carry trade, a well liquidation. Well, I dug through the ETF flows, the options data, the CMA basis trades and there was no single culprit.

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    00:00 The Crash Explained
    01:54 Record Inflows During a Market Bloodbath
    03:51 Why Individual Hedge Funds Weren’t Responsible
    05:52 The Trigger: Institutional Portfolio Forced Selling
    08:46 Structured Products and the Dealer Tripwire
    10:30 The Secret Behind Net Positive Inflows
    12:27 Why This Volatility Fuels Future Gains

    21 Comments

    1. We knew Japan was raising rates, dec was the time to rotate. Second, wall street has hijacked Bitcoin with a seemingly infinite amount of synthetic Bitcoin (etfs, call options etc)…. Now the third is the institutions no longer need to buy more Bitcoin like Strategy….why buy more when the can print infinite paper coins (Bitcoin etfs)…..so it’s back to mom and pops/retail to slowly pump this back up through slow acquisitions….until Bitcoin gets repriced at some point in the future. Just my two cents

    2. There's no why. There's never any why. There's only when. After when happens, people use their imagination to construct a why. It makes people feel good to toss some words around and cook up an "explanation" for an event. So, why is therapy. Pure psychiatric therapy. The current why never helps to predict the next when. Next when when happens, another why will be invented for the therapy then. We're still left with an inability to predict when.

    3. This is actually ridiculous. “Risk managers actually told everyone to sell everything”. Institutions are smart money & they do NOT act like dumb money.

      I have unsubscribed.

    4. If bitcoiners are supposed to be HODLing, why do they keep selling?? Because it's not a store of value, it's a decentralized risk "asset". The amount of apologize for Bitcoin malfunctioning is starting to get old. The narrative has not held and no one knows what BTC is, they just tell you what they want it to be.

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