The Pentagon doesn't want to say this out loud, but the risk of Iran hitting a Navy ship is too high to try reopening the Strait of Hormuz with naval power
One burning US ship would be a mess for Trump and a huge propaganda win for Ukraine
US and Israel are pounding Iran, but it has anti-ship capabilities hidden and would go hard after a US ship
Trump says there's almost nothing left to bomb in Iran … because it's really hard to find missiles, drones and small attack boats hidden in ones and twos
So Trump will have to find some other way to open the strait
And oil traders should stop hoping the Navy sails to the rescue
Don’t expect the US Navy to open the Strait of Hormuz
byu/rickjnewman ineconomy
Posted by rickjnewman
9 Comments
[https://open.substack.com/pub/ricknewmanreport/p/us-navy-strait-of-hormuz-iran-conflict-analysis?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=strait_hormuz_analysis](https://open.substack.com/pub/ricknewmanreport/p/us-navy-strait-of-hormuz-iran-conflict-analysis?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=strait_hormuz_analysis)
Agreed.
This was a losing battle from day 1 for the US. Risking a navy vessel and crew because oil prices are high would be another huge blunder.
Uh oh. The current administration seems to go against all logic so maybe they will risk it.
I googled and found that before the war there was an average of about 150 ships passing through the strait. I don’t doubt the US has the capability to escort some ships through the strait, but 150+ a day for an indefinite amount of time? I doubt it has the capability for that.
It’s pretty much impossible to defend a ship from low flying missles or drones launched from only a few miles away. Any ship in that passageway in the strait is a sitting duck.
Unfortunately for Europe the closure of the Strait hurts them far more than the US, especially with shipments of LNG. Their options are a) restart coal fired power stations or b) buy gas from Russia
>”One burning US ship would be a mess for Trump and a huge propaganda win for Ukraine”
I think this might be a typo.
This really just shows how obsolete ships of the line are in today’s world of missiles and drones.
No Mr Navy. I expect you to choke.
I wonder if its the U.S Gov’s “America first” policy that led them to only worry about their own troops being attacked, whilst not being able to psychologically see the economic damage that Iran could do in the region.
They can’t see the wider picture, because to them there is no wider picture.