
I was looking at Walmart long-term chart and it kind of blew my mind. Over roughly the last five years WMT is up about 230%, which feels weird for a company that most people still think of as a slow, defensive retailer. What’s even stranger is the valuation it’s trading at now. The P/E is somewhere around 40–45x, which is the type of multiple you usually see on growth tech companies, not a grocery and big-box retailer.
From what I can tell, Walmart’s revenue growth has mostly been around ~5% and EBITDA growth closer to ~3%, so it’s not like athe underlying business suddenly started growing like a software company. Yet the stock basically tripled in a few years.
The bullish explanation I keep hearing is that Walmart is turning into more of a platform. People point to things like Walmart+, their advertising business, ecommerce logistics, and marketplace expansion. But at the end of the day it’s still a retailer with pretty thin margins.
So I’m trying to understand what the market is pricing here. Did Walmart actually transform into some kind of hybrid retail-tech platform… or did the market just decide that a stable company with decent execution deserves a tech-style multiple?
Right now it almost feels like Walmart is being treated as both a defensive bond proxy and a hyper-growth company at the same time, which doesn’t make a ton of sense to me.
https://i.redd.it/5311ssbbsarg1.jpeg
Posted by xProjectxPrincess
8 Comments
Since they got the bugs worked out of Walmart+ we get like 80% of our groceries from them and that’s been a few years now.
Cuz stonks go up only
As stuff gets more expensive, Walmart is seen as a cheaper option. The more people buy there the better their bottom line.
Because it got repriced from a legacy department/grocery store to a tech-forward online mega-retailer now rivaling amazon.
Of all the companies up that much or more in the last 5 years. This is the one you wonder why. This is probably one of the few that are actually warranted.
Walmart+ locked in a lot of people. You get same day delivery, a random streaming service, other discounts. Also allows others to sell on the platform. It’s basically Amazon lite with an actual retail footprint.
Greed
Because brick ans mortar buissness will survive AI…all the tech companies will get whiped out. Software will be worthless.