It will be a blood bath and i’m afraid it will be reacted with a nuke. So oil price will sky rocket
Sufficient-Skill9530 on
It will hit $200. The Houthis will close the Red Sea.
Duvet_Capeman on
This is a defined red line for Iran. They will hit every single oil and gas refinery as well as desalination plant in the region. The strait will be completely shut.
It would be the end of gulf oil as well know it for a decade and could well lead to the depopulation of the gulf, huge migration out of the area, massive casualties. All round a humanitarian cluster fuck.
The only kind of hope in that situation would be the US actually has a plan to stop the inevitable retaliation or Iran is unable to retaliate. Neither seems likely given the events of this month. The downside here would be that the war then becomes a quagmire and Iran is completely destroyed through years of fighting, which would also destabilise the regime and world economy.
Boots on the ground is a lose lose (even lose lose lose) scenario.
The other options are accept some of the terms given by Iran and allow for some kind of deal to take place or use the nukes and hope there is no terrible backlash.
All in all this war is a disaster, even if some of the US and Israeli objectives have been met it’s all temporary. My personal hope is that the war ends US dominance in the middle east and we see the return of sovereign nations.
cerunnos917 on
Not with Trump in office, all he does is lie, saber rattle and accept bribes.
El_che07 on
Today is a Green huge Day
Buy everything than u can in oil
Motor-Region-1011 on
The bigger this war gets the more markets will get wreacked…rip
Crafty_Aspect8122 on
The US will capture Iran’s oil infrastructure but won’t be able to use it, effectively removing Iran from the supply.
Iran will strike every piece of oil infrastructure and every tanker they can.
Iranian proxies and guerillas will be impossible to exterminate. All they need is to lauch one drone at a tanker and no one else will be willing to take the risk.
DegenJinwoo on
Iran has stated they would bomb every single oil and gas refinery in the entire Middle East; which they are highly capable of. Houthis have agreed to shut down and bomb any and all ships going through the Red Sea and Egypt has no military to assist and defend the canal.
Oil would easily break $200/bbl and world depression would happen.
One would hope it never comes to this. It’s inevitable. Oil would have one final leg up and then all markets would crash -50-70% minimum as everyone is already in a cash out position since Covid; which didn’t even count as a recession. The USA just printed everyone out of the abyss, and Japan and Korea even China will and or have offered repatriation to sell out of the American stock market and as long as they buy back into their country’s stocks they will have no tax on their gains. Rumors on wallstreet are Europe will also copy Asia on repatriation tax breaks. But only time will tell.
Typically, the S&P does well during times of war, but not when the world has an average DTI of 120 and Oil is $120, hyperinflation, and an every rising debt crisis across the globe for the CBs, never before seen. This time could very well “be different,” but they say this every cycle. 2000 “this time is different,” 2008 “this time is different,” AI “this time is different,”
No one is ever prepared for a crash, this time, we all are. So maybe it is different?
KeTaMiNEanDpEdoZ on
The least transparent administration ever has been sending small round after small round of all types of troops as some media has reported over the last few weeks.
Paratroopers, Marines, etc. just so we are clear this is happening now and over the next few weeks they won’t be able to hide it as many people seem to still be denying this fact.
All that I see guaranteed at this point from a big picture perspective is volatile financial markets and a massive increase in anxiety in people in general that are already being pushed to the brink with the insanity of the reality we now face.
DDPStellar on
It goes downhill from here… what I mean by downhill is oil price will sky rocket, uvxy to the moon and everything else red and most likely the start of WW3 officially ? Let’s hope not.
1erRPIMA-fiesta on
Hydrogen.
If the worst case scenario happens for the world economy, expect huge investments into hydrogen. Trucks, ships, planes… They’ll need to adapt quickly
As of now, the largest deposit of natural hydrogen nearing commercial exploitation is in eastern France
SwimmingDog351 on
So much for all the we are “we are energy independent “
ian_coke77 on
Do you mean boots on islands in the Persian gulf or the mainland? It is unfathomable for on the mainland at this point, but for the near future, Iran will retaliate by bombing gulf nations and closing bab el mandeb
Onaliquidrock on
I think Trump will impose export restrictions.
WTI will therefore be quite low.
Brent will go high.
Everyone that is not in a oil producing country will be fucked.
16 Comments
Already happened
Probably we will see $200 a barrel
It will be a blood bath and i’m afraid it will be reacted with a nuke. So oil price will sky rocket
It will hit $200. The Houthis will close the Red Sea.
This is a defined red line for Iran. They will hit every single oil and gas refinery as well as desalination plant in the region. The strait will be completely shut.
It would be the end of gulf oil as well know it for a decade and could well lead to the depopulation of the gulf, huge migration out of the area, massive casualties. All round a humanitarian cluster fuck.
The only kind of hope in that situation would be the US actually has a plan to stop the inevitable retaliation or Iran is unable to retaliate. Neither seems likely given the events of this month. The downside here would be that the war then becomes a quagmire and Iran is completely destroyed through years of fighting, which would also destabilise the regime and world economy.
Boots on the ground is a lose lose (even lose lose lose) scenario.
The other options are accept some of the terms given by Iran and allow for some kind of deal to take place or use the nukes and hope there is no terrible backlash.
All in all this war is a disaster, even if some of the US and Israeli objectives have been met it’s all temporary. My personal hope is that the war ends US dominance in the middle east and we see the return of sovereign nations.
Not with Trump in office, all he does is lie, saber rattle and accept bribes.
Today is a Green huge Day
Buy everything than u can in oil
The bigger this war gets the more markets will get wreacked…rip
The US will capture Iran’s oil infrastructure but won’t be able to use it, effectively removing Iran from the supply.
Iran will strike every piece of oil infrastructure and every tanker they can.
Iranian proxies and guerillas will be impossible to exterminate. All they need is to lauch one drone at a tanker and no one else will be willing to take the risk.
Iran has stated they would bomb every single oil and gas refinery in the entire Middle East; which they are highly capable of. Houthis have agreed to shut down and bomb any and all ships going through the Red Sea and Egypt has no military to assist and defend the canal.
Oil would easily break $200/bbl and world depression would happen.
One would hope it never comes to this. It’s inevitable. Oil would have one final leg up and then all markets would crash -50-70% minimum as everyone is already in a cash out position since Covid; which didn’t even count as a recession. The USA just printed everyone out of the abyss, and Japan and Korea even China will and or have offered repatriation to sell out of the American stock market and as long as they buy back into their country’s stocks they will have no tax on their gains. Rumors on wallstreet are Europe will also copy Asia on repatriation tax breaks. But only time will tell.
Typically, the S&P does well during times of war, but not when the world has an average DTI of 120 and Oil is $120, hyperinflation, and an every rising debt crisis across the globe for the CBs, never before seen. This time could very well “be different,” but they say this every cycle. 2000 “this time is different,” 2008 “this time is different,” AI “this time is different,”
No one is ever prepared for a crash, this time, we all are. So maybe it is different?
The least transparent administration ever has been sending small round after small round of all types of troops as some media has reported over the last few weeks.
Paratroopers, Marines, etc. just so we are clear this is happening now and over the next few weeks they won’t be able to hide it as many people seem to still be denying this fact.
All that I see guaranteed at this point from a big picture perspective is volatile financial markets and a massive increase in anxiety in people in general that are already being pushed to the brink with the insanity of the reality we now face.
It goes downhill from here… what I mean by downhill is oil price will sky rocket, uvxy to the moon and everything else red and most likely the start of WW3 officially ? Let’s hope not.
Hydrogen.
If the worst case scenario happens for the world economy, expect huge investments into hydrogen. Trucks, ships, planes… They’ll need to adapt quickly
As of now, the largest deposit of natural hydrogen nearing commercial exploitation is in eastern France
So much for all the we are “we are energy independent “
Do you mean boots on islands in the Persian gulf or the mainland? It is unfathomable for on the mainland at this point, but for the near future, Iran will retaliate by bombing gulf nations and closing bab el mandeb
I think Trump will impose export restrictions.
WTI will therefore be quite low.
Brent will go high.
Everyone that is not in a oil producing country will be fucked.