Last year it was april 2nd, 2025. Tariffs, panic, every headline screaming crash. Today (march 26, 2026) feels weirdly similar. Almost exactly one year apart.
I’ll be honest last april I panicked a little. Watched my portfolio drop 10%+ in days and sat on my hands. Took me a while to start buying, and by the time I finally did, the snapback was already underway. Then those who bought heavily during the downturn made a fortune by summer.
Not saying it’s exactly the same. Last year the fear was tariffs and trade war. Now it’s iran + oil spike + inflation jitters + meta legal mess. Different drivers, same kind of “sell first, ask questions later” energy.
So this time I’m not waiting for a “clear bottom.” Already started scaling into stuff I wanted to own anyway: added a bit of nvda and amd on the dip semis got crushed but the ai story hasn’t changed.
Picked up some energy names (xom) basically as a hedge. If oil stays hot, they’ll print. If oil cools, I’m okay holding.
Left some cash aside in case we go lower, but I’m treating this like a 6–12 month play, not a day trade.
I’m not saying we’re going to v-shape back up tomorrow. Maybe we chop around for a bit. But based on last year’s , the window where everyone’s terrified is usually a decent entry
Curious what you guys are doing
Anyone else buying the dip, or are you waiting for more pain?
Does this actually feel like last april to you, or different this time?
And the big one are you touching meta after that jury ruling, or staying far away?
Honestly just trying to stay disciplined and not let the noise make me do something stupid. Would love to hear how others are playing it.
Not advice, just someone who learned the hard way last year and doesn’t want to make the same mistake again.
Posted by Emily-989
16 Comments
The difference here is that tariffs were controlled by one man. This current situation has another side and they hold significant cards. Even if trump pulled all the US troops out, iran is still planning to monopolize and monetize the strait charging 2 million per tanker I hear. So yeah… very different situation. Not saying its wrong to buy the dip but this particular dip could be a long and deep one.
Except this time, This idiot is reliant on the whims of the Israeli’s and Saudi’s who want to push this war further and further at cost of American lives. What a sell out.
The problem with the Iran war is that Trump can’t just TACO his way out of it…
But I was told Trumps tariffs “had damaged our reputation beyond repair with all our trade partners that even IF he cancelled the tariffs, the market wouldn’t recover” last April…
Not a Trump fan, just echoing the similar sentiments of doom & gloom all about the market and the dumb orange man that happened a year ago… that is now again happening today.
The META news is also a huge nothing burger. From what I understand, that lawsuit was a young girl addicted to social media before the age restriction was in place. It’s also just completely ridiculous – the filters of social media fueled her depression – well then couldn’t you sue every women’s makeup, fashion brands, models out there for the body imaging dysmorphia that happens?
I’d imagine META just makes stricter age requirement enforcements for Instagram, and that’s all there is to it.
It’s like walking into a casino, getting addicted to gambling, getting depression from gambling, and then suing the casino. Ridiculous.
War is a very different context than tariffs. You can taco out of tariffs easy, not with what’s happening now.
This time is different LOL.. It’s a war causing high prices on the blood supply of the world
Good luck making semis with no sulfur, oil, etc.
I am retired, so I am burning cash and hoping the market calms down and recovers soon.
Everyone saying it’s different said the same thing last year. Good find OP
“Just bought $7,000 of VTSAX 💀” was my Reddit comment on April 7th of last year.
things are different this time
Last year Tom Lee and Dan Ives, the bullish of bulls, were saying it was over. This year everyone is expecting a rip your head off rally with market down only 7%.
We are nowhere near a bottom.
What if I told you that the tariff rebound was used to train you to buy the dip and use that against you later….
One was tariffs, this a war initiated by drunk uncle trumpsterfire with no objective, no plan against an enemy that controls a great deal of the world’s shipping.
Unless Trump somehow declares a win and leaves this won’t be a dip, it will be a depression. For context, Qatar’s gas fields will take 5 years to repair. If this war escalates multiply that by a factor of 1000.
I’ve live through depressions. Market dumps for years and takes subsequent years after to recover.
Stop electing idiots
My biggest concern of why this will not get solved is how can a counterparty trust this admin . The admin makes a deal then wants to go back on it. This is in addition to the intractable nature of Iran and the us interested. Does not look promising for a quick resolution.
I think the solution to this entire war is that new supply chains will have to be built that are not dependent on the Strait of Hormuz.