We all see those silly articles on if you invested $100 in Nvidia a few years ago you would be like +50,000% or something by now.
Here’s one more :
MSFT on 19 Nov 2021 : $343.11
MSFT on 27 Mar 2026 : $358.56
+4.4% total return over 4 years
Of course this is a very specific ‘timing the market’ example and I picked a peak period in 2021 but still blows my mind that the stock has dropped 25% this year.
Posted by blueberry1919
28 Comments
If I wasn’t such an idiotic loser, I should have loaded up back in 2017 with Microsoft and AMD.
Yeah it’s crazy it’s basically flat over 5 years. I never was much of a buyer in individual big tech companies. But I had to buy MSFT. It’s getting criminally cheap now. I’ll continue buying if it keeps slipping. You don’t see companies of this caliber get crushed like this often. Better seize the opportunity while you can.
Great time to dollar cost average into discounted stocks.
“If I cherry pick two dates then see how bad the returns are when the entire market is down?”
It has indeed been sitting there for a long time and then falling. It has been dead money in my portfolio since 2022. I started feeling like it should be paying me dividends. It had a nice run before that though.
Microsoft pivoting to focus 100% of their R&D investment into PowerPoint was a mistake. Hundreds of billions into PowerPoint.
I mean this is why I buy and sell, fukk diamond hands and all that
I am worried honestly. You hear “This time is different” and you are told “nah, they always say that”. But I think this time is really different……look at the JPY yield!!!!!!! 😨 this time I think it really is different.
@Bumpee That’s ok bud…at least you were in the game. I was just on the sidelines!!!
Almost as if valuations mean something…..
Msft and amazon are prob one the best buys on the market right now. Just buy and dont worry about it for 2+ years
Don’t look at the 2001 2015 perio, you’ll think computer sales and the internet weren’t growing during this period.
Get used to it because it’s about to drop way more. The company could go bankrupt in the next decade with how quickly it is bleeding market share and overspending for AI.
It’s called mean reversion
it’s not about how many years you hold a stocks it’s about when you should buy it, Msft p/e on 19 Nov 2021 was 37, no company stay overvalued indefinitely.
Amazon didn’t move an inch since forever as well
I posted after earnings in January that MSFT was going to drop to $400. Some bag holder got made and asked if I can see into the future.
You factoring in dividends?
It’s a boomer stock now.
But seriously that’s the way stocks are they’ll stay flat for 10 years then they will triple in 6 months and then flat for another 5 years and you’ll get your 10% per year average.
Nvidia did nothing for 13 years.
Great dividend payer
Market is in full irrational mode now, especially for software companies. But Microsoft *will* come back over 500$ in the next 2 years, save this comment and come back later.
Whooa! True
MSFT is rudderless with copilot deemed pointless at this point. AI agents will deem its office products useless, and possibly its entire OS ecosystem. Azure may be the bright spot, but when the other products are weakened, migrations to GC and AWS will accelerate. Literally nothing going its way currently and no sign of a reversal.
I don’t think you are proving the point you want to prove. So Microsoft basically stayed flat while the market as a whole did +60%…
Inflation adjusted Nikkei 225.
[https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1UfJu](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1UfJu)
You could have been a passive index investor, had your whole working life go by and still be at 33% from when you started. I am sure this was true for a few. Things happen!
“Total” return means including dividends. The above would be price return.
I’m buying MSFT.
That’s why Just buy the fucking index man goddamn people 😭 Mr “I will load up on Microsoft and Amazon” peeps