The index is up 1.5% overnight yet almost no one trusts Trump.
However, this more directly suggests that people as an overwhelming majority in the market are shorting stocks despite pumps up. What they don’t realize is that this wide consensus is exactly the kind of collective shorting that results in short squeezes. If everyone and their mother is so convinced that what Trump says doesn’t matter, and are 100% sure we’ll see way deeper lows, the market won’t give you free candy, regardless of how unreliable Trump is. It’ll do the exact opposite and result in a run back to ATHs
I’d argue this was one of the main reasons we quickly went back up last April and it may now even be a faster more violent run up since literally everyone is now convinced that there will be major new lows. Look at the sentiment around you and use this as an opportunity
Be weary that this kind of market sentiment is exactly what results in short squeezes
byu/One-Signature-2706 instocks
Posted by One-Signature-2706
18 Comments
wary
The VIX not moving down while the index rises has the complete opposite effect to what you describe.
A high vix with high prices means that when the vix falls, prices will rise more.
If prices are rising and vix is flat, that is a good thing. It means prices are not rising as a result of low IV.
(Edit: OP has significantly changed his post, and comments, to omit his mistakes)
Fear porn. Buy the dips and hold. They literally tell you what they’re doing every day on TruthSocial and or daily press conferences.
[deleted]
VIX is down 9% today?
OP never heard of the term “dead cat bounce”, also some of the most violent short term rallies happened during a bear market
Using past market action to make predictions about a situation driven by real world politics is… interesting. Hope it works out for you op!
Bear markets have some of the most violent upward movements, but trend lower over time.
It’s a standard dead cat, both bounces so far this decline have been around 1.5%.
I’ll throw my money in once the war looks to actually be over…
Squeeze deez nuts!
weary yes, it’s very tiring
its March 31. a lot of private funds take their monthly mark today. there’s no news just correlated incentives of the larger market participants
Anyone with half a brain would not trust the “Trump trade”
Ya the negative sentiment in here means the bottom is already in. Have fun missing out as we rip to new all time highs now 🤡
“The index is up 1.5% overnight yet almost no one trusts Trump.”
I believe about 77 million Americans trust Trump, not sure why you would say “almost no one”. I certainly trust him.
Yeah, “Freak the fuck out and buy everything!” —WB
Up, down, up, down, up, down. Until a prolonged, sustained run starts happening (8-10 trading sessions), I’m laying out. I might miss the bottom, but that’s alright. Rather that, than jumping in too soon and then see another 10-15% pullback.
I suppose daytraders are doing rather well, but who’s in front of their screen from 9:30-4:00?