I'm currently drafting a risk model for an energy logistics firm and need to de-risk my assumptions about short-term maritime chokepoints. While I have the macro data, the immediate cascading effects on insurance premiums and regional tanker rerouting seem unpredictable.

    And here is what I’m curious about:

    – Would a seven-day closure of the Strait of Hormuz trigger an immediate global oil price spike, or would strategic reserves stabilize the first 48 hours?

    – How fast would insurance P&I clubs declare "force majeure" for vessels already in transit?

    – Are there any realistic bypass pipelines that could actually handle the diverted volume on such short notice?

    – What happens to the LNG supply chain specifically, given its stricter delivery windows?

    What would actually happen if the Strait of Hormuz got blocked for a week?
    byu/Sad_Safe8810 inAskEconomics



    Posted by Sad_Safe8810

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