Are we being “Exit Liquidity” for fake Whale clusters on Polymarket?

I just read a breakdown of how sophisticated traders are manufacturing "insider signals" on prediction markets to trap retail traders.

The tactic:

• The bait: They use a cluster of wallets to "slam the book" on a low-probability outcome (e.g., buying "Yes" at 15¢).
• The narrative: Social media and Dune dashboards flag it as "Smart Money/Insider info."
• The harvest: While retail piles into "Yes," the manipulator uses a second, hidden set of wallets to buy "No" at a massive discount.

It's basically a pump-and-dump for binary contracts. The original thread has the full math on how this doubles their ROI compared to just trading normally.

Full breakdown/source on X: https://x.com/Predictbook/status/2039315399913697722