When the SPX was trading at 5800 a year or two ago, the daily expected move was around 30-32, well now that its trading at 7400, the daily expected move is still around 30-32.
A 30 point move is a lot bigger % move when the SPX is at 5800 versus 7400. For example, a 30 pt move on a 5800 SPX is 0.50%, a 30 point move on a 7500 SPX is 0.40%. And yes, that’s enormous when 0dte have VERY little room for error.
It’s just odd to me that expected daily move doesn’t account for this.
Daily expected move doesn’t account for SPX price “inflation.”
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Posted by Soggy_Builder_84