CRYPTO INVESTING POST BITCOIN HALVING: WHY IT’S TOUGH TO LOSE. SEC WINS & HEDERA

    hello everybody Welcome to the Wednesday
    live stream so we got a lot of things to
    go over let’s just jump right in so
    today as we take a look at the markets I
    don’t usually take a look at the markets
    per se but it’s I think it’s important
    some days to actually just to give this
    relevance as time goes on and people
    look back at certain videos so today we
    can see that there’s quite a little bit
    of a drop going on and uh this is April
    24th it’s around High Noon Eastern
    Standard Time if you’re watching this
    video or when we splice this up you
    might see a little later and it might be
    much different but uh bitcoin’s down 3%
    24 hours 64,000 actually I think
    everything’s down less 24 hours let me
    see if anything’s up
    Tron uh wow hadera’s up well we’ll talk
    about this the hadera harar situation
    still up 20% but over the last hour it’s
    a sea of red what’s happening anybody’s
    guess probably more uh sellers than
    buyers and I’m sure somebody will come
    up with some fantastic reason as to far
    as why this is actually dipping but this
    is what we have
    I really am not concerned about the
    short term what I’m talking about today
    and of course the whole point of the
    thumbnail and title was really even it’s
    it’s hard to to
    lose as we invest moving forward posst
    having and even like the losers win I’m
    not saying that what I’m going to talk
    about right now are losers as far as
    crypto but as far as like some of the
    fastest horses definitely not what I
    want to take a look at was of course I
    don’t have a crystal ball I can’t go
    forward but I can go in reverse and just
    see how things have gone since we just
    had our having on 19th of April 2024 I
    want to take a look back uh historically
    and this is from coin market cap the
    historical reference as we take a look
    at the top 10 as of 17th of May 2020
    17th of May 2020 and what I can see here
    is that uh this is some of you are going
    to laugh but this is how it was back
    then and we can see that uh the top
    10 it was Bitcoin eum which hasn’t
    changed too much xrp which could do no
    wrong and of course the xrp community
    got hosed as time went on and they were
    entangled in the SEC uh grips and we’ll
    talk about their loss and wins today
    tether then number five Bitcoin cash and
    Bitcoin SV because back then everybody
    thought that everything had to do with
    Bitcoin was going to be fantastic and
    that didn’t really turn out to be
    correct Litecoin binance coin EOS and
    tasos and then rounding out the next two
    is stellar and cardano and chain link
    and Monero and stuff like that so what I
    want to do was just extrapolate that and
    just to see how things are as if we
    pulled forward and what we could have
    done and again like I like we talked
    about yesterday we talked about dollar
    cost averaging and how that doesn’t
    really work too well I mean it still
    works uh but it doesn’t work as great as
    if you dyamic
    DCA and we proved it we took a look at
    POS having just the things to do and and
    uh just watch the video I don’t I we
    don’t have time for that here that’s
    outside the scope of this video itself
    what I want to show you today is what
    would happen if we would have said you
    know what I’m going to take these top 10
    because this is what I knew back then
    that’s that’s what I know today this is
    all you know Bitcoin ethereum tether BNB
    salana USD staked either xrp and
    Dogecoin and ton coin on the top 10 so
    that’s all you know next in 4 years it
    could be totally different as opposed to
    taking a look at this that’s why
    altcoins are so risky and that’s why
    people talk about Bitcoin so much so
    let’s just take that historical
    reference and just do this let’s just do
    a lump sum and throw in a thousand bucks
    okay $1,000 into the top 10 as of uh May
    17th 2020 and in all honesty even if you
    would have done that at that point
    that’s why I say it’s kind of hard to
    lose when I put this together this
    morning I was like damn it’s like almost
    impossible
    I mean it’s possible trust me uh I can
    as as as far as Traders go they have an
    in inordinate ability to grasp or to
    take
    back defeat from the jaws of Victory by
    not selling
    so if I did $1,000 right again roughly I
    put this in May 12th let’s just do May
    17th just to keep things
    on the up and up as we just talked about
    so May 17th I put $1,000 in and I put it
    into ethereum B&B xrp Bitcoin cash
    Litecoin tasos EOS what was the other
    one I think I missed
    one oh Bitcoin SV let’s see if I can add
    that
    in that the because that’s Bitcoin cash
    it might not be here because oh my God
    it is well congratulations you’ve got
    Bitcoin s fee so even if you would do
    that and you put $1,000 in and didn’t do
    anything because you’re like I don’t
    want a DCA I got a th000 bucks look at
    the Returns
    on let’s take April
    23rd uh you would have outperformed
    dollar cost Avenue I’ll tell you that
    right now Bitcoin you’re up 400% you
    invested a th000 you got 5,500 it’s
    pretty good xrp you would have he would
    have be Bitcoin 4.81% ethereum 1, 144%
    wow it’s pretty good and then B&B you
    would have crushed
    it crushed it at almost $30,000 but then
    what I want you to to notice is that
    even if you would to put it into I’m not
    going to say losers but let’s be honest
    some of these totally underperformed uh
    tasos EOS Bitcoin cash Litecoin and
    Bitcoin SV you’re still up 30% 84% 112%
    and 240% and also 41% so
    again this is why I say like when we’re
    doing these things like post having
    you’re in the right place at the right
    time can I tell you what to invest in
    and how much to invest in and that it’s
    going to be all right and and Rainbows
    are going to shoot out of every no
    that’s not what I’m saying but I’m
    saying if you just take a look back it’s
    hard to screw this up and the only way
    you screw this up quite honestly even if
    let’s see let’s take November 2022
    that’s roughly uh the bottom look at
    this I didn’t even think about this it’s
    all right now they in 24
    2022 you’re still up 1700% on BNB you’re
    still up 41% on ethereum xrp you’re up
    100% Litecoin 80% and Bitcoin you’re up
    77% now
    again losers taso Zoo Bitcoin stoi
    Vision ah Bitcoin cash you’re down 50%
    60 to
    80% but it’s
    it’s tough it it’s tough to to screw
    this up moving forward so that’s just
    that’s just that
    piece and I also want to show you this
    because right now because we’re stuck in
    this time frame we’re stuck in this this
    zone of stasis where we think that okay
    well this is awful things are down 3%
    we’re we’re kind of chopping sideways
    what happened to having everything is
    supposed to go up ah it’s not how it
    works if you take a look here again time
    in the market is much more important
    some days than timing the market
    everybody’s down for the hour as far as
    like ethereum cardano I mean everything
    in the top 20 30 or something like that
    you’re down over the hour you’re all red
    congratulations over a day the only
    people that are up are algo for some
    misinformation quite honestly and maker
    I guess one week you’re up but over one
    month you’re down but here’s the here’s
    the great glorious thing about doing
    what you did in the bare Market over the
    200 day average or 200 days look how
    much you’re up I mean you’re up big time
    Bitcoin you’re up 131% what’s on 200
    you’re up on Avalanche oh yeah 250% for
    Avalanche salana 500% 180% for BNB 104%
    for maker 117 I mean you get where I’m
    going here the only
    loser right now for the 200 day is
    Monero and Monero gets gets crushed all
    the time because it’s a privacy chain
    and uh the centralized exchanges don’t
    want to list it because they don’t want
    to deal with the SEC even though there a
    bunch of losers I’m saying losers a lot
    today I really shouldn’t it’s very
    negative and then of course over one
    year most people are up except for madic
    so again it’s tough to be a loser but
    people will say but Rob you don’t
    understand this time is different it’s
    so different because of the ETFs and how
    and how far we’re going I have to agree
    in some in some ways although I was kind
    of it was an interesting find I think
    most people know this but it’s it’s it’s
    good to bring this to light here’s the
    Bitcoin Holdings over time and you can
    see that in the beginning it’s all
    grayscale this little blue Mark right
    here this nice little
    blue uh bar you can see that when this
    started on January 10th it was all
    grayscale and of course they started
    dumping and dumping and dumping so and
    but the whole thing I wanted to show you
    was that as far as like the total as far
    as Bitcoin units it’s 620,000 give or
    take 620,000 but if you notice over the
    first uh month or so
    it wasn’t like there was a huge influx
    of people it was just grayscale dumping
    and other people buying mostly Black
    Rock and gray SC I mean uh Black Rock
    fbtc and what was the other one
    Fidelity so it wasn’t it’s just like it
    went from 620,000 to 650,000 over a
    month it’s just changing hands yes it’s
    a lot of volume I get it but then if we
    come over here we can see that we’re
    actually at around
    820,000 so over the course of
    oh three months or so 200,000 have
    fallen into the hands of the ET efforts
    which is fine and uh excuse me 200,000
    over three
    months and just to take a look at it
    just to kind of Z just kind of zoom in
    for a bit April 23rd there was a lot of
    outflows look at grayscale almost a
    thousand for as far as units and then
    we’ve had you know a good amount of
    inflows so they’re soaking up all the
    things but I think it’s just like
    switching of hands and a slow Point yes
    there will be a supply shock at some
    point yes Grace gal will run out of this
    time yes I understand that but I gotta
    tell you 200,000 over three months you
    know was 200,000 Bitcoin themselves
    micro strategy micro strategy just by
    itself this is from Bitcoin Treasures
    you can see that they have over they
    have 24, 246 Bitcoins so yes I
    understand that uh you know things are a
    little bit different now and I can see I
    can see the point I think again I think
    this is this is great timing for us as
    as time goes on but then people will say
    but Rob what about the macro because you
    know Drome Powell is higher for longer
    uh we’re doing a quantitative tightening
    doesn’t seem as not as much near as
    quantitative easing we see some uh signs
    of weakness in the uh in the economy
    itself and of course you know we’ve got
    massive debt and I got to agree with you
    but I will say this this is from the US
    debt Clock I don’t know if you ever seen
    this but it’s fascinating because you
    can just see the US national debt every
    time I turn this thing on it’s like
    another trillion national debt is over
    30 4 trillion here in the US I don’t
    know where you’re at but we love
    debt and you can see that the federal
    debt the GDP ratio usually don’t want
    this anywhere near 80% and we’re at 122%
    this is what backs essentially the money
    printing we’re 122% debt to GDP ratio
    and it’s never it’s not going to go down
    the only way out of this
    situation of what we’re doing right here
    I hate to say it it it’s going to be
    some money printing
    and the printer is going to go Burr and
    what happens when the printer goes Burr
    well it’s very simple if you take the M2
    money supply and overlay this that’s
    that’s everything in red right here and
    overlay it with anything S&P 500 what do
    you notice as the money goes up so does
    the S&P 500 let’s take a look at the
    down J’s Industrial Average roughly the
    same thing let’s take a look
    at oh our favorite how about the total
    market cap of
    crypto say same thing how about if we
    just take like just Bitcoin itself look
    at that just straight
    up uh Bitcoin because that’s the king
    roughly the same thing because that’s
    that’s the number one crypto that’s
    going to be for a long time I don’t
    think anything’s going to flip that and
    then people will say but you don’t
    understand because you know we’ve never
    gone up in quantitative tightening yeah
    we have yes we have and you to see right
    here yes in March 2022 as we of course
    came out of the largest bull run uh not
    for crypto itself but for for for most
    markets you can see that yeah we dropped
    off and we were consolidating we were
    quantitative tightening but look what
    happens even though we’re going down see
    that blue mark That’s
    Bitcoin it has gone up ETFs helped a lot
    I still say that we’re going to turn the
    money printers back on and when that
    happens I think there should be some
    quite explosion of prices I could be
    wrong let me know where I’m wrong here
    in the comments comment section and uh
    that’ll take part of that again I think
    it’s just if you just stick around I
    think it’s very hard to screw this up
    but who knows so there’s that piece and
    then also I want to talk about this real
    quick uh harar Foundation this was a big
    news I was going to do a live stream
    yesterday but I just put out a
    pre-recorded video which talked about
    Dynamic DCA you can check that video out
    in the playlist but the harar foundation
    put this out it said today we witness
    real world asset history as BL black
    rocks US Treasury money market fund or
    MMF is tokenized on hadera now that
    part’s true this was done
    by ARCA X and owner AIO making a major
    Milestone on Asset Management bring the
    world’s largest asset manager on CH
    which I got tell you when I saw this I’m
    like well I should probably buy some
    haera because this only makes sense
    right this whole Market if you haven’t
    figured this out is mostly moved by
    sentiment and even though people say
    what smart money says smart money
    doesn’t know what they’re doing smart
    money is also emotional as well not all
    of them but I can tell you I’ve met a
    lot of smart money people and they’re
    not any smarter than you I can tell you
    that speaking of
    this this came out H H bar up 96% after
    a misinterpreted Black Rock announcement
    and here we go a misinterpreted
    Announcement by the H Foundation
    suggested that black rocks ic’s treasury
    fund was tokenized on the hia blockchain
    in partnership with RX and oner
    leading to a significant
    misunderstanding and a 96% increase into
    H bar however Black Rock had no Direct
    involvements in the tokenization process
    as clarified by I guess cardono ghost
    fund Chris o Conor who criticized the
    way the announcement was framed
    emphasizing that the misinterpret
    misinterpretation caused unwarranted
    excitement among influencers that’s me
    that’s
    true and this was actually put out as
    well coin Telegraph says hey even though
    this Happ
    happened ARX co-founder and CEO Graham
    ruford said it was indeed an ARX choice
    to put black rocks fun on Adera but
    everyone involved was aware I’m not
    going to speculate I don’t have I mean
    that’s what we’re here for speculating
    and I’ll let’s be honest but the way it
    was framed it seemed like there was
    direct involvement that really wasn’t
    what it was I put this out and I said
    hey I bought a dere I bought a dare an
    hour ago the news broke that they’re
    doing real world assle Black Rock whole
    industry is Nar driven this was April
    23rd yesterday and then when I saw that
    article and them talking about it and
    andera keeps keeps the hadera foundation
    keeps putting it out which is if they
    want to do that that’s fine but that’s
    not for me I sold it all so not my
    finest moment but I’m not going to
    support something like that and it may
    work out for them I can say but just be
    aware that when news comes out and
    things like that we can do our research
    right people say do your own research
    everything else well that came from the
    foundation if they’re going to word it
    like that it seems a little bit funny so
    for
    me not a good idea to uh get into that
    but I got to tell you I mean was a nice
    profit in 24 hours now could a go to the
    Moon sure I guess I don’t really that’s
    that’s fine and if you want hadera cash
    ref you can tell me uh how great it is
    and how it’s going to do well and I I’ll
    probably agree with you because like
    I’ve said before in the bull run
    everything goes off and uh Adera could
    be know different but uh for me I’m not
    going to stick around with this one as
    just there’s some ways that it was said
    and I’m just not a big fan of those
    situations so there’s that piece and
    then to wrap this
    up
    SEC so in the title I said the SEC won
    well they didn’t they lost but they
    still win I’m GNA tell you why and this
    I’m not going to go over this very quick
    I’ll go this real quickly the SEC faces
    the big Court bill after sanctions debt
    box says they have spent nearly 3/4 of a
    million dollars fighting the sec’s
    claims you don’t remember this one this
    is where the SEC it was two specific
    lawyers who have already stepped down
    from the SEC stated that debt box was
    transferring all funds out of the
    country that was untrue they knew it was
    untrue they actually transferred funds
    from One Bank in the United States to
    another bank in the United States and
    they made them freeze their accounts
    even though they knew that was wrong and
    those two lawyers stepped down I’m not
    here to say that the SEC is totally
    corrupt but those two guys stepped
    outside the boundaries
    so they’re going to face sanctions and
    when I say that the SEC wins it’s
    because of this who you think’s going to
    pay that bill 34 of a million does it
    come out of Gary’s pocket I don’t think
    so it’s come out of our pockets and
    that’s how the beauty of taxes work and
    and people will say well taxes are very
    important so we can uh build Bridges and
    uh build roads and that’s what uh funds
    the whole ecos not gonna argue with that
    as well but I’m just saying that when we
    pay taxes and they’re mismanaged and of
    course the three-letter agency of the
    SEC is going against those exchanges
    that of course are what would be good
    for us I don’t know about Deb box but
    these are the things that happened so
    congratulations to the SEC even though
    you lost you won because they have
    unlimited Pockets from taxes and then
    lastly three years and this is from
    actually this is this is the Department
    of
    Justice uh
    US Department of Justice is recommending
    a 36-month prison sentence
    for Chang
    Pena
    CZ binance and that is scheduled for
    April 30th now CZ has already come out
    and said look I was wrong and I should
    have uh been a little bit more
    forthcoming as far as the AML and kyc
    process but uh this is where we’re at
    and um we’ll see what happens but 3
    years and you can read it I’ll you can
    just follow me on on X and you can find
    this out but
    again that’s where the tax dollars go
    and that’s what we have so that’s it for
    today so look like today’s video give it
    a thumbs up consider subscribing we talk
    about it’s time sensitive tomorrow um is
    NFA live me Ben and the cryptoverse and
    be Jessica from coin Bureau as we talk a
    little bit
    about who knows what we’ll talk about
    but that’ll be tomorrow for the live
    stream 9:00 a.m. eastern ten time but
    that’s it for today so again you got to
    take off take off

    Investing in crypto is risky but over the long haul and ESPECIALLY after the halving, even the losers can be winners. Also, the SEC is a winner even though it lost and about that HBAR / Blackrock connection…

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    ⏰ *”Not your keys, not your crypto” repeated AD NAUSEAUM over 2 years.

    Intro (0:00)
    Bitcoin price drop (0:12)
    Top 10 coins in May 2020 (2:22)
    Performance of the top 10 coins since May 2020 (4:10)
    Importance of time in the market (7:21)
    Bitcoin holdings over time (9:23)
    Impact of grayscale on Bitcoin (9:42)
    Macroeconomics and money printing (11:12)
    HBAR news and price increase (13:21)
    SEC lawsuit against Debix (15:02)
    DOJ recommending prison sentence for CZ (16:12)
    Outro (17:32)

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    16 Comments

    1. And the BTC "halving" has been a huge NOTHING-BURGER so far….so much for all the Hype and Hopium so many "experts" were pushing at that time!! ;-(
      I've been a buyer and HODLer since 2018, so I'm NOT new to Crypto….just tired of the Hype and Hopium being spread around as fact. Yes it will rise again
      but the last push just before the Halving was a joke. Too many of these "experts" pushing times and dates need to lay off the Hype and "date" pushing. smh

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    3. Just pressed play…. just wanted to say thanks for being a straight shooter ever since I found your channel last cycle. I appreciate your content brother Dan.

    4. 13:25 the only assumption is that they turn the money printer on. Which is what we believe is inevitable, but is that possible that we are wrong about this ? I think it is important to consider that they dont turn it on, even if you consider at a very low % chance.

    5. There isn't going to be a big bull run or parabolic move this cycle. Everybody is just sitting around waiting for it to happen. When most people think something will happen, it usually doesn't happen

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