War in Gaza has immediate implications on Suez Canal, Egyptian minister says

    uh well of course uh uh the geopolitical
    tensions in the region and the war in
    Gaza has immediate implications on the
    sus Canal Zone and I think uh uh the uh
    the estimates are that our revenues are
    down close to 50% which is quite Hefty
    uh on the balance of payments uh so this
    is this is the immediate uh implication
    that that we have uh most recently there
    have been um measures uh taken uh
    through uh uh the IMF program through
    Finance ing uh through some of the
    privatization that has taken place to
    sort of compensate uh for some of the
    downturn that has happened particularly
    on the Swiss Canal so on the SE Canal
    what about in trade in particular are we
    also seeing a material impact so um of
    course the uh the uh uh tension and the
    uh attacks that has happened uh or the
    threats at least uh on the uh ships and
    that that has uh created alternative
    routs um uh we haven’t uh uh seen yet uh
    the rebound
    uh and hopefully uh all of this is
    related to of course uh the ceasefire
    and trying to find out a resolution to
    the situation so what’s at stake for
    Egypt’s economy if we don’t see a
    ceasefire or this situation stay
    unresolved I mean the the a few things
    uh for any country in this region uh uh
    there’s there’s always a need for
    stability for the uh uh inflow uh of uh
    foreign direct Investments to be uh more
    steady predictable um uh the uh uh you
    know if the threats uh affecting the SS
    Canal continue that’s also going to be
    uh uh stress on the balance of payments
    uh and uh uh this is uh uh you know a
    fact but then uh the government uh
    always looks for uh policies to
    compensate uh for that downturn and this
    is uh this is what has been happening uh
    uh over the past few months so talk to
    me a little bit about the work that
    you’ve been doing I know you’ve been
    extraordinarily busy working with
    intergovernmental organizations you’ve
    secured incredible funding from the INF
    the World Bank the EU and others I think
    the question for Market investors right
    now and observers of the Egyptian
    economy is is it going to be enough to
    avert a full buror crisis so a few uh a
    few points uh uh which which are you
    know pretty obvious but let’s go through
    them anyways uh macroeconomic stability
    uh is a prerequisite uh and a necessary
    condition to be able to uh uh attract uh
    private investment however it’s not a
    sufficient condition and therefore the
    conditions that come after that include
    structure reforms uh but without uh
    attaining macroeconomic stability both
    on the monetary side and the fiscal side
    it would be very very difficult uh to
    convince uh the longer term investors to
    come in and that’s why it was very uh
    important uh to finalize our program
    with the uh IMF uh the board meeting uh
    was uh a few weeks ago uh and in
    preparation for that there were many uh
    important macroeconomic policies uh that
    were undertaken to restore that
    stability uh both on the foreign
    exchange side as well as on the fiscal
    side um also the document related to the
    IMF program uh and concluding the the
    two reviews uh was published uh uh
    yesterday and for any investor who’s
    going to look through it uh will see
    very clearly the commitment of the
    Egyptian government to continue uh on
    this uh route of fiscal and monetary
    reforms very very important as I
    mentioned as a precondition for the FDI
    and for the private sector to come in
    comes the second stage which is the
    structural reforms and that’s uh what we
    are uh putting together with uh other
    ifis uh including the World Bank uh the
    EU the African Development Bank and many
    other uh of our International Partners
    but the Homegrown structure reform
    program uh is anchored on three key
    pillars uh the first one has to do with
    uh
    improving the competitiveness and the
    business environment the second has to
    do with uh the macro fiscal resilience
    so continuing uh on some of the reforms
    there and the third has to do with the
    green transition Egypt is uh has done
    tremendously well uh on many of the uh
    renewable energy projects uh uh uh water
    desalination and these are efforts which
    are continuing so the green transition
    is the third pillar of structural
    reforms because that is uh again an
    attraction for a lot of the private
    sector uh for firms that could come in
    and invest in the country so it’s a
    combination of microeconomic stability
    structural reforms that will be able uh
    to bring in the private sector
    Investments that are much needed today

    Rania Al Mashat, Egypt’s minister for international cooperation, discusses the Egyptian economy as the Israel-Hamas war continues and amid the Houthi attacks in the Red Sea.

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