Umm.. One Bitcoin may be worth $1 billion by 2038?!?!?! no shot

    https://i.redd.it/yvyun2iujkof1.png

    Posted by SparkVanilla

    34 Comments

    1. What’s interesting is that this is from Fidelity. This isn’t some Aunt Cathie LSD trip bullshit, but a legitimate financial firm.

    2. If BTC goes to a billion within 15 years, the only money that matters will be BTC. Gold will be totally irrelevant as an investment vehicle, so let’s hope he is exact with his numbers

    3. I mean I won’t be complaining but I am not going to incorporate that into my decision making.

    4. manliness-dot-space on

      This would happen if they inflate the money supply.

      We shouldn’t care about the exchange rate of dollars to bitcoin. We should care about the exchange rate of other property to bitcoin.

      Is a billion dollars in 2038 enough to buy a house? A private island? Or a cheeseburger?

    5. GinormousHippo458 on

      The title of that article should instead be: “US Currency Forecast to Collapse VS Bitcoin in 2038”. Same story, same numbers.

    6. If USD keeps falling then sure, why not?

      It won’t be any different than Zimbabwe’s currency though so you better compare it to some other curreny’s value

    7. Bitcoins currently up 100% from 1 year ago

      If Bitcoin kept the same momentum, 100% gains each year, Bitcoin will be $1 billion by 2038

      Too many factors to consider tho to think this is exactly what would happen. I imagine gains to continue to rise, but at a slower pace as marketcap increases

    8. An_Individualist on

      I’ll copy the exact response I wrote out the last time this story circulated:

      I keep seeing this, and it’s just not true. The story is Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer (who is a really smart guy), was commenting on the stock to flow model several years ago, and saying basically that IF the s2f model is true, we would have a billion dollar BTC. The s2f model has largely been proven to be inaccurate.

    9. Legitimate_Towel_919 on

      If BTC hits $1B by 2038 that means even $100 today could change lives. Time is the real leverage here

    10. With no change in supply/demand, this would require USD to lose 50% of its value every year.

      Ambitious, but plausible.

    11. I believe that very high bitcoin prices are possible. But the price of bitcoin doesn’t tell the whole story. A BTC price of even $1 million would tell me that there’s a severe loss in the value of fiat currencies but especially the dollar. When the price of one BTC equals 1 billion USD, I suspect 1 gallon of gasoline in the U.S. will cost at least 100 USD.

    12. GettingFasterDude on

      Fidelity was into bitcoin very, very early compared to other brokerages. I suppose huge numbers are possible if bitcoin displaces all other forms of wealth, rather than coexisting alongside fiat, stocks, bonds and gold. Still, $1B seems crazy high.

    Leave A Reply
    Share via