Hello guys, I would like to know and see strong arguments against/in favor of the 4 year cycle. Do you guys think BTC in the future will still obey the 4 year cycle, or will it not? I mean it's speculation at this point considering that we are literally experiencing a new cycle where institutional investors are present. Psychologically, much still believe in the 4 year cycle.
We can of course never predict and know the future, but what do you guys think are the odds that the 4 year cycle is over?
I would like to know what you guys think.
Posted by quasarhq
14 Comments
Bitcoin topped 2021 October-November, Bitcoin topped again 4 years later October this year.
What determines the price is supply and demand. The more time passes, the less supply there is due to the halving, the price becomes more stable. But it depends on how the world sees him. If governments buy, the fluctuations will decrease. In any case, I believe that over time, even if there continue to be cycles, the variations will be smaller.
If the sentiment is a 4 year cycle then the bulk of people will cash out at that point bringing down the market, creating fear and causing more to sell, sending us in to the bear market
Honestly, nobody knows shit about fuck. We’re all just looking at charts and hoping the line goes up and to the right.
This is not a “new cycle”. Institutional investors are present every cycle.
The 4 year cycle is playing out perfectly, just like always. Will there always be a cycle as we know it? Who knows. We won’t know it’s over, until it’s over.
Against.
It only made sense when no one had heard of crypto and excitement around adoption was high.
Further to that, increased regulatory awareness and fundamental constraints when institutions adopt it means that it will never sky rocket again.
There is and never has been a 4 year cycle. It was always liquidity that drove the market.
What’s the point of it all? I mean, there’s all this enthusiasm over crypto, and everyone has their favorites based on one aspect or another, but what is the ultimate expectation? Is anyone planning on actually using crypto beyond trading and gambling, because governments have made it clear that they have no intention of allowing it to happen? They’ve either banned it or made the regulations vague as a trap, to put anyone who attempts to comply at risk of non-compliance no matter what they do. Because fiat is critical to national security and global economic and military stability, and cryptocurrencies are a threat to them. So there’s absolutely no chance that adoption will happen in the next hundred years.
It all comes down to liquidity and the federal reserve. More money being printed = everything is more expensive and the dollar becomes even more worthless.
BTC and crypto in general can pump hard off any favorable policy change (lower interest rates and QT ending/QE beginning for example). We all know our fiat system is designed to fail at some point. The goal is to get that money into other assets before that collapse.
Why do you all run after bullish or bearish sentiments.
Trade this market and book your profit as per market structure.
You wont care about whether it’s bearish or bullish after learning and trading market structure.
You will just book your profit and boom.
That’s what everyone is here.
There is no argument. Until 4 year cycle actually breaks, the 4 yr cycle is on, no amount of coping will fix that
“4 year cycles” are how some cope
Crypto is an insanely volatile risk
https://preview.redd.it/1iorfemyuu2g1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=74688ae94f3f80ebbc3ec8fad1ab0e01ad9fa82b
Cycle persists
So far the 4 years cycle is still valid. In the future who knows ? Maybe the last halving will end the cycle