I’ve been watching Broadcom (AVGO) closely, and it feels like the debate around this stock has quietly shifted.

    This isn’t really about “is Broadcom a good company?” anymore almost everyone agrees it is.

    The real question seems to be:

    Has the market already priced in too much perfection?

    Here’s where I see the split:

    Bull case:

    Strong AI networking + custom silicon exposure

    Massive backlog with hyperscaler customers

    Software cash flows (VMware) supporting buybacks and dividends

    Management with a long track record of execution

    Bear case:

    Valuation already assumes sustained AI capex with no hiccups

    AI related products may pressure margins near term

    Backlog ≠ guaranteed revenue timing

    If AI spending cools even slightly, there’s not much valuation cushion

    What makes AVGO tricky is that it’s not a hype stock it’s a disciplined compounder but it’s now being priced like an AI must-win.

    So I’m curious how others here think about it:

    Is AVGO fairly valued given its consistency and cash flow, or

    Is this one of those names where “great company” ≠ “great entry price” right now?

    Not trying to push a trade genuinely interested in how long term investors here are framing the risk/reward at these levels.

    AVGO: High-Quality Compounder or AI Valuation Trap? Curious Where r/stocks Lands
    byu/Particular_Tax_9436 instocks



    Posted by Particular_Tax_9436

    2 Comments

    1. Apprehensive_Two1528 on

      i did a little research, avgo has the 2nd best asceding trendline among nvda, google, amd, mu etc…

      the current trandline slope is high, but not super alarming.

      mu’s is very alarming

    2. anactualspacecadet on

      I think its grown a lot, and there’s more room to shrink than there is to grow. It’s probably still going to grow but I think it’s a significantly riskier investment today than it was a year ago and for that reason a sold a very big chunk of my position a few weeks ago.

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