Will MicroStrategy Collapse in 2026? Analyzing an FTX-Scale Risk

    https://beincrypto.com/microstrategy-collapse-crypto-black-swan-2026-risk-analysis/

    Posted by GreedVault

    5 Comments

    1. tldr; MicroStrategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, faces significant financial risks due to its highly leveraged position, holding over 671,000 BTC funded by $15 billion in debt and stock dilution. Its sustainability is tied to Bitcoin’s price, with a potential collapse in 2026 if BTC drops sharply. A failure could trigger a market shock larger than the FTX collapse, as forced liquidation of its holdings might destabilize Bitcoin’s price and the broader crypto market. The probability of collapse is estimated at 10–20%, highlighting rising concerns about its financial fragility.

      *This summary is auto generated by a bot and not meant to replace reading the original article. As always, DYOR.

    2. Mother_Bonus5719 on

      I hope so, if that happened Id be buying the crash so fucking hard. Even if people lost faith for a decade theyd eventually come back

    3. Its debt doesn’t mature until the 2027-2029 time frame and it has enough USD to continue the dividend for the preferred for a while. And even if that weren’t the case, I’m pretty sure Saylor would sell some of their holdings if it was the difference between going under or not. Everyone’s got a plan until they get punched in the face

      >Will MicroStrategy collapse in 2026?

      No. Maybe their share price will keep falling if he keeps up with the dilution and Bitcoin stays on the mat

      But the company isn’t collapsing in 2026 and there’s not going to be a forced liquidation

    4. The biggest risks are never the ones everyone is talking about all the time.

      FTX was so catastrophic because they hid it very well – they were even providing funding to support other crypto companies during the bear market.

      Not everyone liked FTX, but nobody knew how much trouble they were in.

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