“This Wasn’t a Guess”: Polymarket rocked by perfectly timed $630,000 bets on Maduro’s arrest

Those are such small amounts that it’s not trump his admin. Trump his cronnies are billionaire that want to make another 100 million dollars, not just a 100k.

This was somebody who figured out what was gonna happen, maybe it was as dumb as them checking the pizza pentagon tracker. Then once they put in their bet, buying the yes shares ofcourse massively increased the price. That notified other gambler/traders that quickly put in their bets.

But the real gamble was, which bet to chose from? There where 3 active bets around venezuela, some with a lot more ambiguitiy then others. Cause what exactly does it meant to get invaded? One soldier enough? One chinhook enough?

As such there are at least 3 bets on polymarket being disputed right now, you’d think they resolve to yes by now, but no they did not. Lots of gamblers are super mad ofcourse. They more or less made the same bet as these guys here, but their pairs never resolved to yes, and most of them lost money. (unless the dispute flips it to yes for them).