Hi everyone,
What do you all think about this?
Can I hedge the possible AI dystopian future where 80% of people lose their job and no adequate social economical societal support (eg government welfare) to support everyone, by doing the following:
I go all in on the big players in AI on the stock market in the vertical with the cash I have and do dollar cost averaging for the next 10 years: amazon, google, microsoft (infrastructure), asml and nvidia, etc (chips/hardware, memory), palantir ('the OS for AI') and robotic ETFs and be a long term holder + do dollar cost averaging.
In case the dystopian case arrives, possibly after some crashes of stock (where I hold on like a rabid dog), everything in the stock portfolio goes to the moon. The world is fucked, but I am loaded and can buy my family and loved ones a way to happiness by not being a part of the financially dependent. I win.
In case AI is a bubble, I'd probably benefit a bit from the hyperscalers and lose the rest. But the world is not fucked, I have some cash, property and commodities. I'm healthy and have a life. I win
I already have a house of which half is paid off and had a nice market ride up on housing prices, a garage box in the city centre and some gold and silver I've had for 10+ years and some ETF investments. say all in all my net worth is around 500k. I have 50K in cash and can spare 1500 per month for dollar cost averaging.
The time horizon is up to 2035. I think we just cannot grasp the AI disruption about to take place and how fast it will take us all by surprise.
— without an edit: the above was my initial small idea that I wanted to test against the community here. I've already had this challenged by AI, so have some other info, but I am more interested in real user feedback.
Betting on AI disruption as a hedge against AI disruption, does this logic hold?
byu/LocksmithAlert5604 instocks
Posted by LocksmithAlert5604
4 Comments
Yes, your plan should work.
If the economy truly crashes, I don’t know how the dollar can handle its lack of purposeful generating/spending OR how the infrastructure could handle the chaos that would unfold for consumers who can no longer afford their debt. Albeit a long shot and not something I’m rooting for or betting on, I believe this situation would lead to economic collapse and a lot of people becoming obsolete.
It does seem the economy is generally poised to accept these conditions, but as I’ve previously written, the dollar would melt away from utility. This would lead to a non-standard approach to asset hoarding and government reliance, and our current administration would easily forgive itself for being unhelpful (theoretically)
However, I do believe that the people who are now essential to the economy would revolt and likely seek to disempower the very system that deems them no longer necessary.
A bit long winded. But my point is, if we reach the dystopia you predict as possible, that I also depict as possible, humanity is ripping itself apart; this does not benefit the companies listed. Maybe Palantir but the rest need data mining that is functionally relevant to an economy.
Interesting idea, but betting the apocalypse is risky 😬
I also think about this chronically.