I can be wrong but many people are so optimistic about long term growth of stocks. I am not saying they are wrong but s&p 500 is expensive based on the euphoric future estimation.

    The geopolitical uncertainty can increase the probability the euphoric future might not come at all. I am so curious if people really buy stocks at current level after hearing the news in iran. The situation is so unpredictable, and the disruption can spark up the inflation again although the war can end within a month.

    P.S. I know this is about stocks but personally this operation is falling apart due to the lack of stretegic goals. Killing or removing the leader is the easy job for the US military but there is no political agenda about the future relationship with Iran. I feel this war is lasting more than an year as the Ukraine war. I also think the US government is hinting about ground operation because it is the best option to minimize loss and secure the lead in the war. The government is just testing the response of the americans and allies before they start the ground operation.

    Do you buy stocks at current price level?
    byu/Landslide_Micro ininvesting



    Posted by Landslide_Micro

    32 Comments

    1. Bangbangbang_123 on

      Time in the market beats timing the market. DCA if you are truly worried.

    2. 7-billion-and-1 on

      There’s always something happening somewhere.

      I have many more working years before retirement. There’s no choice but to buy at every opportunity I can find and stay invested.

    3. Fourteen_Werewolves on

      I buy stock twice a month every month, 1st and 15th, have for years, will for years.

    4. Sudden_Routine352 on

      If you can stay in cash until the next big crash, you deserve your reward. But the next big crash might not happen for some time and there are opportunities today.

    5. I usually buy high, panic once a stock starts dropping in price, and sell right before the rebound. That or I put my money into index funds at whatever the price is when I have cash to invest

    6. Geopolitical events like the stuff in Iran definitely makes the S&P 500 feel overpriced and risky right now. I have been using an AI platform called trylattice to track congressional disclosure data so I can see if politicians are dumping or buying during these uncertainties. It also has a sweet market event calendar that syncs up so you can stay ahead of inflation news or ground operation rumors. You can even run these scenarios through interactive financial charts to see how historical shocks affected price levels before you decide to buy.

    7. KumingaCarnage on

      You’re overthinking it.

      You’re gonna regret not investing now. When in a couple years time it’ll have doubled

    8. I buy stocks the beginning of every year when I can drop bulk cash into my tfsa lol

    9. Auto buy 10 tickers monthly, never cared to watch the entry. Its about the duration.

    10. I know this isn’t super relevant to your main point, but killing or removing the leader like this is actually a very new development.

      Everyone is all casual about these after the fact, but it was absolutely not easy and almost unprecedented. It’s a massive feat of intelligence and striking tech.

      The US had several wars and interventions in countries where at the time they couldn’t get the leader like this, and required widespread support of local factions, an opposition leader, a lynch mob, boots on ground, prolonged campaigns, civil wars, etc. 
      And a lot of other inconvenient leaders they didn’t attack, but they would have if they could do something quick and no boots on ground like Maduro/Ayatollah.

      Saddam, Fidel, Gadaffi, many others. Russia famously failed to grab Zelensky in that first raid on Kyiv.

      These relatively painful leader removals seem like a footnote now but are actually one of the biggest developments recently (that this is now a viable option with relatively low risk for several targets).

    11. Agile_Cicada_1523 on

      I thought the same 4 years ago when Russia started invading Ukraine. Now check the stock market since then

    12. Iran does not make me fear for the stock market. 3/4 of the market being tied to AI makes me very nervous about the stock market.

    13. Everything looks expensive, but when you’re holding onto cash in a year and the dollar continues to devalue, you’re gonna wish you bought something. 

    14. Minute_Plastic_350 on

      Good companies, solid financials, reasonably priced price earnings, good gross profit, margin and a moat as big as possible on their products. I won’t be shy with my suggestions, MO, JNJ, KO, MPLX, AAPL, GOOG, RTX, PANW, BKH.

    15. Maleficent-Fennel250 on

      Market sentiments are difficult to judge but I do keep a reserve for a red hot day. My best days were year 2022, last year April, feb of this year and march will remain the same. Again this is borderline gambling but I do it for fun my retirement accounts are automated and comes directly from my paycheck or automated investing at brokerage.

    16. You could have made the same post a year ago when the market was 15-20% lower than it is now.

    17. Do yourself a favor and take politics out of investing. You will get nowhere fast with that thought process.

    18. Long_Tackle_6931 on

      Nope.

      I hold a bit as a hedge but not my main bet. Everyone I know from carpenters in Middle East to truck drivers in Asia is buying USA tech stocks. Literally.

      Usually only means one thing. There’s a lot of greed.

    19. Yes. I buy every week. If something is below it’s 200 DMA I buy twice as much.

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