What's up Bitcoin fam,
So I've been tinkering with this calculator that models borrowing against your Bitcoin stack instead of selling it – basically that whole hold-forever strategy where you use your coins as collateral
Been wondering myself how big my Bitcoin position needs to be before I can stop worrying about traditional retirement planning, so figured I'd build something to crunch the numbers
The idea is pretty straightforward: you keep your Bitcoin, borrow cash against it when you need money, and theoretically never have to sell (avoiding taxes and keeping exposure to price appreciation)
But working out the math gets tricky fast because you need to consider:
– How much you can actually borrow without getting liquidated
– What happens if Bitcoin crashes and your loan-to-value ratio gets dangerous
– Whether the borrowing costs eat into your gains too much
– How the debt compounds over 15-20 years of retirement
The calculator I put together lets you play with different scenarios – punch in your current Bitcoin amount, set annual withdrawal needs, adjust interest rate assumptions, and see if your strategy survives various market conditions
You can test conservative approaches (lower LTV ratios) versus more aggressive ones, factor in Bitcoin's historical growth patterns, and see exactly where things might go wrong
Built this because existing tools either skip important variables or make overly simple assumptions about how this strategy actually works in practice
Would be keen to get some eyes on it from people here who've thought about this approach – curious if I'm missing anything obvious or if the assumptions seem reasonable
Anyone else been down this rabbit hole of trying to model Bitcoin-backed retirement strategies?
Made a calculator to figure out how much Bitcoin you need to never sell
byu/HighlightExpert6407 inBitcoin
Posted by HighlightExpert6407
5 Comments
Interested. You gonna post it?
This concept is very interesting to me, especially since this seems like the most likely scenario with how bitcoin will be utilized in the future.
You need to find a loan that will both take btc as collateral and with a low enough interest rate before its even worth thinking about this.
Interested in play testing this
> Made a calculator to figure out how much Bitcoin you need to never sell
I need to never sell all my bitcoin