MSFT is beaten down way too much. People can vibe code something like Intuit or Team but not a full on operating system, cloud, game controller and office suite with distributed collab. Even if vibe coding creates lot of new software companies they will all need to be hosted in some cloud and Azure will gain part of the pie. MSFT is oversold in weekly chart (RSI 30) and near 200 WMA. Its trading at 24 PE whereas Intuit is trading at 30 (!!)
Given that this OTM call looks attractive at 47 delta. Even if MSFT rebounds to 450 by Sept 27 I will exit with a break even. I anticipate more downside as SPY is still strong and when SPY collapses MSFT will not be left alone. However MSFT is usually the first to recover before even SPY. Often times, SPY does after few months whatever MSFT does now.
Yolo!!
Posted by Evening_Control6034
3 Comments
People also thought this about Blackberry, CP/M, Visicalc, WordPerfect…
you should have given me this, the call “window” will die first
Not a bad bet, I like it