The information asymmetry on geopolitical events is the biggest edge in energy markets right now. Yesterday the Trump/Iran strike postponement was on squawk feeds at 11:05:32 GMT. Brent was already moving before most retail traders had seen a headline. I run a concentrated Iran/energy portfolio (LNG, Shell, BAE, Rheinmetall) and built a real-time intelligence feed to track exactly this kind of event across 60+ sources. Happy to discuss the thesis and how information latency affects positioning.
Oil moved 12% in 90 minutes yesterday on the Iran strike postponement. The people who knew first made money. The rest read about it on CNN.
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Posted by Internal-Estimate-21
4 Comments
real
Surprise surprise
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12% in 90 minutes is the market pricing in war risk, not someone’s alpha. By the time you’re running a “concentrated Iran portfolio,” you are the liquidity.