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    The current market meltdown and how to navigate it.

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    my positions

    -short SLV 79.71/oz (closing at 50-55/oz)

    -short CRWV @101 (closing at $0-20)

    -short CVNA @382 ( don't touch. risky a lot of moving parts to this stock, but insider are all selling after short reports came out)

    -short TSLA @386 (overall postive on tsla but valuation compression needs to happen first, will turn around and buy eventually)

    Edit: I forgot I have calls on the VIX with a strike price breakeven of 26, but that is a small position. I will sell that soon.

    Long PSKY @11.71 (will be bumpy ride for a year or 2, but I can stay solvent longer than the market can stay irrational) (holding indefinently)

    long TKO @ 75.00 (holding indefinently)

    I believe the war in Iran will continue longer than most think. if other countries get dragged into it, things could get really bad. Gas will stay elevated, and stocks will get crushed. For some reason, the fed is floating the idea of RAISING RATES. Another negitive.

    RECESSION INDICATORS ARE ALL FLASHING RED! AND ARE AS FOLLOWS

    1. GOLD TRIPLED IN 6 MONTHS

    2. SILVER QUADRUPLED IN 6 MONTHS

    3. Oil has doubled and will likely go higher.

    4. Inverted yield curve inverted and uninverted roughly 15 months ago. (Recession usually follows 6-18 months after this happens. We are in the sweet spot, and look what is happening.

    5. On april 3rd, the unemployment data will be realsed. If the unemployment is 4.6% or higher, the SAHM ruled will be triggered. another recession indicator. google the Sahm rule if you are not familiar.

    If you have been following the real estate market, you would know that it doesn't look good right now, and keeping rates high/raising rates is terrible for the economy.

    Last time the economy went in the dumps (covid), trump blasted jerome Powell to lower interest rates, eventually he did. this time, trump is not acting the same. not hearing much pushback is a bad sign.

    I predict things are going south perhaps all year.

    Margin calls will happen. panic will set in. Developments of this war are important. I don't see much room for positive news anytime soon…

    I want to discuss any or all of my positions with whomever is interested or has input/thoughts. but know that the short positions are obviously more temporary.

    PSKY is the most interesting stock that people are overlooking, i feel. a lot to discuss that one.

    Anyway, good luck degenerates. now roast me like a turkey

    The current market meltdown and how to navigate it.
    byu/HeavyPurpleBallsack inwallstreetbets



    Posted by HeavyPurpleBallsack

    32 Comments

    4. Oneok-Field on

      Much easier to make money on things that go up, not down. Even in a recession, certain industries strive.

      Put down the 2022 tech stocks and identify what’s set to grow in 2026, not what set to fail.

    5. Efficient_Exchange44 on

      My wife’s boyfriend said he’d take me out to Wendy’s to make me feel better about my losses.

    6. BodomDeth on

      I actually agree with parts of your thesis, an even if you’re wrong about the recession, I still think the 4 stocks you identified are good for puts. Silver makes no sense being that high, Carvana is a trash business, and Tesla…well I wouldn’t bet against Musk’s personal bribe fund.

    8. Special-Shirt-9728 on

      SELL EVERYTHING!!! SHORT EVERYTHING!!!! The game is over. We are all losers. CHINA taking over USA. Let’s go live in a CAVE!!!!

    9. Semper_audax on

      ****Infamous last words.****

      lmao you fucking belong here you’re positions are cringe

    10. CMTTrader on

      Don’t you hate it when people post “I’m long or short this or that”…but never actually post any proof of positions? Can literally type and make anything up.

    11. Stockengineer on

      Funny thing about a recession is… if you can spot it, you can resolve it. You need a black swan event, the Fed will 100% print more money and lower rates instantly if they sense a recession 😂

    15. Beneficial-Wheel5602 on

      I have shorted cvna and look at Thursday and Friday how strong it is it should have been below 250 by now

    16. Muntberg on

      People have been saying all indicators point towards a recession for years. These phrases have lost all meaning.

    17. brooklyndavs on

      Consumer non-discretionary for anything long. You won’t make a whole lot but you won’t loose it either. Some have an ok dividend. Unless your able to time shorts up the bet is defensive. Good luck

    18. Critical-Future-1560 on

      🥭 isn’t gonna let the market crash whether you like it or not. He always has to win. Nothing will happen until after the midterms.

    21. Confident_Bee1447 on

      Wouldn’t you expect silver to move up or stay flat with gold? Obviously they don’t move in sync but not wholly uncorrected price movements

    22. BlatantPlatitude on

      The bears can stay regarded longer than the market can stay regarded too. Wait, we’re both regarded? Maybe the real dip was the friends we made along the way?

      (I am part of the community, QQQ 560p 5/1/26, SPY 670p 5/1/26, USO 118c 6/18/26, CVNA 300p (don’t remember the date rn lol))

    25. sirnutzaIot on

      I still don’t know why silver ripped in the first place starting in December so I like the short I’ll prob hop on that soon. Manipulated pile of garbage

    26. skarfbeaulonee on

      I think overseas economies will get hit first and the fallout will slowly bleed into economic problems with U.S. economy. The market is always forward looking though and those problems aren’t here yet. Whenever they do arrive, the market will likely have already bottomed long before just like it did during Covid.

      Positions: I only invest in stable and secure investments like 0dte index options.

    29. SkierBuck on

      I’m not taking gambling advice from anyone even hinting we should lower rates in an inflationary environment with the bond auctions we’ve just had.

    30. AlGAdams on

      I hope SPY goes below 600, it could based on historically similar incidents, but I would be surprised if it reached 500.

    32. Barronsjuul on

      The question is when will something break, eventually a bank, fund, or country will have to admit that they’re broken and then the dominos start.

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