Despite the single post here suggesting otherwise, Iran's Foreign Minister REJECTED a ceasefire prior to Iranian security guarantees being inked:

    https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-seeks-no-ceasefire-but-complete-end-to-war-foreign-minister-/3887224

    What the equities markets are signaling today is that the West has misunderstood the sequencing.

    The West thinks that any ceasefire comes first, then Hormuz negotiations start and are linked to an eventual inked security guarantee.

    Iran is saying "No no no no. Ink a security agreement and take actions with respect to our security FIRST. Then we will agree to a ceasefire."

    Very different sequencing. Very different outcomes for oil and equities.

    I remain a….raaaawwwwrrrrr….BEAR!

    Iran REJECTS a ceasefire until formal security arrangements are made
    byu/ub3rm3nsch instocks



    Posted by ub3rm3nsch

    39 Comments

    1. TranslatorRoyal1016 on

      That means they’re willing to negotiate, and obviously have demands. This is different from a few days ago.

    2. TheDeHymenizer on

      Even if worse still a bit better then “we keep fighting until reperations are made and every USA base is shut down”.

      It shows this may actually be coming to a close somewhat soon and not spiral into another Iraq war.

    3. likeemapples on

      I think the market thought exactly this. Peace agreement reached was never the headlines. People are just happy that any type of negotiation is happening at all and its not coming from the orange idiot.

    4. SlooperStroker on

      Wall Street analysts caught with their trousers round their ankles as a guy on Reddit figures it all out. 😉

    5. Intelligent-Love5146 on

      Markets aren’t wrong. The move today was not about the specifics of a ceasefire but the fact there is negotiation, which is proven by this news

    6. Fuzzy-Werewolf-4609 on

      This is the same news from earlier. Market priced it in. This is clickbait.

    7. ExpletiveWork on

      This is negotiation rhetoric. This shows Iran also wants de-escalation. They just want a more permanent guarantee rather than a temporary ceasefire.

    8. So even the terrorists admit that negotiation IS taking place. Do people actually expect total honesty and transparency from a terrorist regime? Lol.

      I still think it will very likely escalate soon, but it’s foolish to believe they’ll make it easy – even if they crumble.

    9. We have B-52s flying over Iran now which we wouldn’t have if their air defenses weren’t degraded enough as well as reports of desertions in their army. If we were able to get this far with the buffoon in chief imagine if we had someone competent(they wouldn’t have started this)

    10. Illustrious_Hotel527 on

      Seems like Trump will just walk away in 2-3 weeks w/ no further discussion and let Iran do whatever. Unless he changes his mind in the next few hours..

    11. Minute_Tune_6461 on

      I’m still confused as to what cards they think they have. If they think it’s the Hormuz strait then they’re delusional.

    12. ReceptionSmall9941 on

      A lot of these moves come down to whether demand is actually broadening or just staying concentrated. No position.

    13. Relative-Macaron-210 on

      I’m so confused first everyone is saying he is not negotiating and now they are saying that they are, bro fuck this imma just sit it out buying spy while it’s dow, like no one wants to put news just bs

    14. PositionJournal on

      They want a full end to the war which is a push for total peace and bullish.

      This is clickbait on your part as it’s literally in the first paragraph

      “Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tuesday that Iran is not seeking a ceasefire but a complete end to the war across the region, stressing that any resolution must include guarantees against future attacks and compensation for damages.”

    15. In the psat 24 hours, US launched ATACMS ballistic missiles towards Iran from Kuwait, including heavy airstrikes across Iran. Iran retaliated with a strike on a Dubai tanker in the Red Sea.

      The actions and the messaging are diametrically opposing. Trusting the Trump regime’s word is foolish.

    16. Bright-Revolution496 on

      Iran makes loads of cash on that strait being open. Bet on them wanting to move on from this as much as we do

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