
the situation around Hormuz is starting to show up across multiple parts of the commodity system
around 20 million barrels per day move through the strait, close to 20% of global consumption, so even partial disruptions are enough to shift flows and pricing
crude is the most visible piece, with WTI up around +18% over the past 5 days, but the impact is extending into LNG, LPG, fertilizers and refined products moving along the same routes
shipping is adjusting in real time, with longer routes, higher insurance costs and tighter tanker availability starting to affect how barrels are delivered
this is already feeding into cross asset moves, with strength in upstream and energy linked names while parts of the value chain tied to demand are under pressure
the key variable now is how long these constraints persist and how smoothly flows can re-route across regions
https://i.redd.it/o9d8984shssg1.png
Posted by LMtrades
2 Comments
It’s just a little excursion.
In a few months expect large swings in the price of agriculture and shortage
It’s going to be ugly, not just financially