As an investor trying to understand the basics of key world events, you need to know who the most powerful players are and what their interests are. Did you recently fail to take into account China's Iran war influence and interests? I warned about this two posts ago – citing an analyst you should now more greatly respect, John Mearsheimer – but was largely ignored and down voted.
The man who interviewed Mearsheimer, Alexander Mercouris, on his latest podcast has said this about who at this point has won the Iran conflict:
"The single biggest winner, in my opinion, is China. China was the party that ultimately played the decisive role in getting the ceasefire in place. It is emerging as the arbiter of conflicts in the Persian Gulf and the Middle East."
If you're confused by the emerging world affairs landscape, respecting and listening to John Mearsheimer and (the admittedly somewhat long-winded) Alexander Mercouris is a smart move. (The Mercouris podcast is in various places I can't mention because of Reddit censorship policy.)
China emerges as decisive Middle East player
byu/Loud-Butterfly3426 inStockMarket
Posted by Loud-Butterfly3426
3 Comments
China and Iran are the biggest winners by a long shot. The GCC are already moving away from the US, Qatar expelled US troops from it’s country. Bahrain plans to do the same… I would assume that they all do it.
Why would you invest in an unreliable ally that can’t even project a consistent message much less the power to support it.
China has been playing the orange garbage masterfully. Do nothing: win. Refuse to respond on tariffs: win. Never interrupt your enemy and all that: win
Related comment: China is on investors’ side. Many of us moved some $$ to oil because we anticipated destruction and/or blocked supplies. But is war and massive bombing a good investment environment? No. Prosperity is better for normal, long-term-oriented folks (unless you have inside information).