Federal court heard arguments last Friday on the current 10% import surcharge. The government's position was wild: judges asked point blank whether the president could just keep invoking this authority repeatedly after it expires. The government basically said yes. Judges were visibly skeptical. No ruling yet.
Here is the part that should frustrate every seller in this sub: even if the court kills this surcharge, the administration has publicly stated they are already building permanent replacement tariffs designed to be ready before July 24. The 10% was never meant to be the end. It is a placeholder while the permanent version gets constructed.
So no, July 24 is probably not relief. It is a rebrand.
Practical stuff worth doing now:
Rebuild your landed costs using today's actual 11% average tariff rate. If your numbers are from earlier this year they are already stale.
If you source from Mexico, the July 1 USMCA renewal deadline is just as important as July 24. The US is pushing hard for tighter origin rules to stop Chinese goods being rerouted through Mexico. Even if the deal survives, expect more scrutiny on where your product actually comes from.
Happy to answer questions below.
Sellers need to know this! The government just argued in court that they can keep tariffs forever by simply declaring a new emergency every 150 days.
byu/Some-Research-4116 ineconomy
Posted by Some-Research-4116
3 Comments
In the absence of congress and a check on branches of government, the President can do whatever he wants.
Permanent emergency. Yes this is the “conservative” party today.
Pretending everything is an emergency has been their MO from the beginning. It puts adversaries on their heels. They are attempts to wrest control of everything and everybody.
[https://www.npr.org/2025/02/14/nx-s1-5287971/trump-emergencies-tariffs-energy](https://www.npr.org/2025/02/14/nx-s1-5287971/trump-emergencies-tariffs-energy)
[https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/23/learning/presidents-can-declare-emergencies-how-much-power-should-that-give-them.html](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/23/learning/presidents-can-declare-emergencies-how-much-power-should-that-give-them.html)