So my last DCA into all word ETF was mid march as I usually get my paycheck mid-month. The market went to shit from there on. Unlucky me couldn't take advantage of the mini crash. Fast forward to Friday. Talks failed. Naval blockade started yesterday by the US means an escalation of matters, Iran threatening to retaliate.
& boom, the S&P rises 2 points yesterday, nearly 1.5 points today. I mean, I'm scratching my head over here trying to make sense of this thing. So the market listens to Trump and escalation of matters & falls after I invest & not before ? This makes no sense !!!
I bet if I put my money in today, tomorrow the market will go down, won't it ?!
Respectfully, WTF do I even do ?
Posted by Sir_Humps-a-Lot
33 Comments
>I bet if I put my money in today, tomorrow the market will go down, won’t it ?!
yes
Trying to time the market is never a good idea… hope you learned your lesson
Massive govt intervention to prop markets rather than deal with the debt. For sure will go exactly like Bessent thinks.
Something something irrational, something something solvent.
It’s simple. The world did not stop turning. Businesses are still doing business and generating earnings. People are still putting their money into the market. My personal view is I have zero control over the govt but I do have control my future retirement.
Focus on you and don’t ingest too much politics
Last big push before a prolonged global recession
There was a dip and the dip was bought. Doesn’t have to be more complicated than that.
If Iran doesn’t retailliate and start a full on war, then Trump essentially is controlling the Strait until they make a deal. Yes this is bullish and very much could result in a peace deal. The US are saying no peace deal unless no nuclear weapons is in the deal. If this happens, Trump has gained a huge win and probably may even win midterms.
Americans are used to long wars. This would be a huge win
On the other hand if Iran fights back and starts a full blown war, stock market collapses hard
“In this case, energy markets and economies around the world need to brace for significant disruptions in the months to come.” – IEA, whoever they are. Probably some gay bears.
>Respectfully, WTF do I even do ?
“DCA into all word ETF ~~was~~ mid ~~march~~ April”
that’s the whole point of DCAing. if you try to time your shit it’s not DCA anymore.
Why do people still think they can explain or time the market? Just buy and hold funds.
You’re fine, just stick to your DCA schedule.
These people are idiots. They’re trying to time the market based on Trump headlines.
You are already DCAing and you are still heavily affected by the irrationality of the market, what is wrong with you too?
When the war ends, the market will crash
Simple fix tbh..
Whatever you think is right.. do the exact opposite.
You’re first problem was investing in an All world ETF
Do the opposite of whatever it is you want to do. Seems to work in this market.
People might not like it, but markets operate on information that us the common folks dont have. It was the same for covid when everything shot up when we were in the midst of the pandemic with no end in sight.
Sometimes maybe good, sometimes maybe shit
The basic gist is the world is not going to let one country, Iran, shut down the oil supply.
Blockades no blockades, treaties no treaties, threats no threats, are all just noise
Learn the definition of “dead cat bounce” before FOMO’ing in!
In a year it wont matter. And in 10 you will be relieved you did it regardless.
I bought BRK.B it’s not really an etf but it’s down for the year. I preferred buying it as opposed to the indexes that were already up today.
Well probably if only because the new VIX contract needs juice and we’ve ran up so much a lot of people are not gunna be short.
The problem with timing the market is if you miss one important factor, you get obliterated. In this case, it was a lockout rally caused by an insane numbers of shorts holders needing to buy into this. If you want to even try to time the market, you have to turn yourself into a computer following charts and ignoring all the noise.
That said, I did make a pretty penny selling off in January and buying back into this and my brother made similar doing the same, so yay. But I see some mistakes I made trying it, and I would not suggest it tbh to most people. I think my brother actually did better than me tbh and he just more loosely followed my advice instead of me trying to be a little too smart lol.
Its very simple. The news doesn’t mean shit.
I put 100k in today. So guaranteed 2% down tomorrow.
Take your monthly investing budget in dca in weekly instead of monthly.
Put everything in Wendy’s. Tank me later.
Stop caring. Really. Investing should be for years down the road. If you don’t think you’ll recover 2% then go set up a savings account.
You’re the 100th person who asks that today, and the answer is always the same: you can’t time the market.
WTF do you do? Don’t try to time it. DCA. Hold. Ignore the noise.
I think [https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/1s77mwi/financial_advice_from_irans_parliament_speaker/](https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/1s77mwi/financial_advice_from_irans_parliament_speaker/) answered this already???
Split your DCA in half and buy every two weeks instead of monthly, that’s the Trump news cycles lately anyway