I’ve been trying to understand something recently.
Intuitively, geopolitical tension and rising oil prices should support gold as a safe-haven asset.
But recently, gold seems to struggle when oil rises.
From what I understand:
higher oil → higher inflation → central banks delay rate cuts → higher real rates → gold pressured
Is this the correct mechanism?
Or am I missing something in how markets price this?
Why does high oil price sometimes weaken gold instead of strengthening it?
byu/One_Cancel7890 inAskEconomics
Posted by One_Cancel7890