Over the past year it feels like the same trade has just kept working: big tech + anything AI-related. Names like NVDA, MSFT, AMD – every dip gets bought, sentiment stays bullish, and it’s been hard to justify stepping aside.
But at the same time, I’m starting to feel a bit uncomfortable adding at these levels. Not calling a top, just feels crowded. I’ve trimmed a bit, but now I’m second guessing it every time the market pushes higher.
Is anyone here actually reducing exposure, or are you just riding the trend until it breaks?
Feels like everyone is all-in on AI/tech. is anyone actually reducing exposure?
byu/ChangeNOW_Community instocks
Posted by ChangeNOW_Community
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Yeah I’ve reduced exposure to RZLV (at a loss) and took some gains out of GOOG. Still at a loss at MSFT which is my biggest position overall and about 20% of my portfolio but I trust it to move higher so didn’t want to limit my exposure to it.
I actually increased it, it’s where the music plays :/
Newest addition, European *Eutelsat*, bought at €1.95 a month ago, is at €2.75 now, and I intend holding it along the other tech stuff.
SLes might not be a wrong choice though…
Market rally is mostly tech and AI is the theme. Why would you want to move away from AI before the music stops?
It would not be logical to reduce exposure – look at any semis ETF P/E, they are not even that expensive.
We are nowhere near the P/Es during the dotcom bubble.
Im retired but I’ve been using ai everyday for many tasks, mostly DIY building. Yesterday I learned Grok can make an excel spreadsheet. So I fed it a bunch of data and it created an amazing, color coded, downloadable, spreadsheet in 5 minutes.
I can’t imagine how this is affecting productivity in the workplace. And what will happen when we reach AGI and all these new data centers are up and running? And once the autonomous cars and robots are in the millions. And when I can make any movie or tv show or video game I want just by typing in a prompt. Like a James Bond, starring me.
So yeah, I’m keeping my portfolio very AI tech heavy. Once in a lifetime Generational wealth making opportunity in my opinion.
I look for other trends but is affecting most stocks because of FOMO.
No. I’m just chilling.
Bullish AF!
Hell no, be tech or die tryin
“worked all year”?
Talk about recency bias. Prior to the last 14 days, half of big tech/mag7 was literally in a bear market. Msft was literally down 35%. Meta down 30%. The neoclouds were down 40%-60%.
As a composite, the Nasdaq has forward PE of 22. Holy shit, what a bubble.
Seriously, do y’all just not know how to read a monthly chart or are just dooming for no reason?
If you want to play contrarian to everybody else, yes, exiting AI and tech would be the opposite of popular sentiment
I actually reduced my exposure to consumer discretionary stocks after seeing stagnation of growth from Hermes to affordable sportswear while adding exposure to energy stocks.
I dont invest a lot in AI stocks with high consensus and poor past performance with fragile balance sheets and that says I prefer and invest in hyperscalers and semiconductor even though everyone knows the circulation of money within them will eventually stopped once capex is reduced but at least it’s foreseeable
What a strange, bot-written post
Speaking of tops, this is a bit off-center topic, but Lots of posts over the last few years about crashes and bottoms. I have something to say about that. These are my raw thoughts, but I had AI clean it up for me. If you’re middle aged, I think you’ll agree with me? I think we’ve been at a “top” mindset for YEARS. Many have zero clue what a true bear feels like, or how to recognize “buy when blood, greedy when others fearful, etc” We haven’t had that in 15 years.
At the top, everyone treats stocks like a wealth-building cheat code. Every spare dollar gets shoveled into index funds. Paying down a 6% mortgage is called “dumb” because stocks “always return 20%.” People check their brokerage account daily for dopamine.
At a true bottom, that entire mindset is gone.
You stop checking your brokerage account for months, maybe years. Not because you’re disciplined, because you don’t want to look. There’s fear, exhaustion, shame, and total detachment.
You don’t brag about investing anymore. You’re embarrassed to even mention stocks. Friends don’t ask what to buy. CNBC fades into background noise. No one at dinner talks about ETFs. Stocks become something “fools” mess with.
That’s what separates a real bear market from a routine correction.
A 3-day drop isn’t it. A 3-month pullback isn’t it.
A true bear can grind people down for years until optimism is fully wrung out. After the dot-com peak, SPY took roughly 12 years (2000 to 2012) to sustainably reclaim prior highs around $140.
The bottom is usually formed when nobody wants in, nobody cares, and the idea of buying stocks feels stupid.
I purchased NVDA at around $15 so I’m reducing my exposure by letting it ride and investing in non-AI related plays.
I’m just investing in 3 things right now. Nokia. YM Chpy until I see true nav erosion. Not taking about normal market dips. And IDVO. That’s it for now.