A gift article from the NYTimes Opinion page. Many of us have been asking this question and this is one person's answer. The author primarily covers the events that likely should affect the market more than they have and why the market may be overlooking these events because it fully expects any disaster to be handled by government bail out.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/18/opinion/wall-street-markets-iran-ai.html?unlocked_article_code=1.dlA.dmhI.N-LYO_n_F2MD&smid=url-share

    Posted by Admirable_Nothing

    11 Comments

    1. Reddituser183 on

      Hasn’t made any sense for at least six years, but that’s only when I started paying attention. I’m guessing it’s never made sense.

    2. Pyotr_WrangeI on

      Because it’s become so disconnected from reality that coming back to it would quickly turn into a crisis, so people just maintain an illusion they may well rationally realise is exactly that, an illusion, because it’s more profitable for everyone to do so.

    3. Ok, a bailout by the government is definitely possible when things hit the fan.

      Why is it UP from February though. I can see why things don’t have to be crashing 25% in the face of this crisis, but how are we not even 2% down?

      The market has hit resistance since October from a massive runup. It only “broke out” because of this news.

      Why does a bailout from a crisis mean higher prices than no crisis at all? And how would a bailout work anyways? You can’t print barrels.

    4. simple_steps1 on

      It makes more sense when you consider how much the market relies on expected intervention rather than fundamentals

    5. Manipulation. Corruption. Ya’ll too gullible to see this. As someone from 3rd world, I have seen this before and I recognize it.

    6. Effectively 100% of Fortune 500 companies rely on 401k for retirement planning. If the average employee contributes 6% on a $75000 salary you’re looking at monthly injections of $10-20 Billion per month from these 401ks alone. That’s why, in my opinion, markets continue to go up, and why they won’t be able to sustain long term downtrends. 

    7. The NYT op-ed page has the world’s worst takes on a daily basis and most people eat it all right up.

    8. bedbathandbebored on

      Insider trading and corruption mixed with bad diplomacy makes markets unstable. Plus, ya know, war.

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