I have a significant position in AMD. My net investments are 350k since 2021 and mostly into AI stocks. I'm torn on AMD because I have conviction that it will at least double before 2030, which should be enough to be content, but I'd rather not hold the bag on Tuesday if I can rebuy lower. On the other hand, numbers show that NVDA is cheaper at the moment but it feels bad because it's a 5 trillion company and there's risk in case of margins lowering.

    I have an idea of what to do but I'm curious about what the general consensus is on the upcoming earnings on Tuesday. Do we expect the usual flat or down, especially considering this past month's run?

    My holdings:

    • AMD: $346k (35.7%)
    • NVDA: $244k (25.2%)
    • UPST: $89k (9.1%)
    • TSE:AIDX: $68k (7.0%)
    • MU: $66k (6.9%)
    • AFRM: $52k (5.4%)
    • SEZL: $36k (3.7%)
    • META: $32k (3.3%)
    • OPFI: $25k (2.5%)
    • ASPI: $9k (0.9%)

    My investment strategy is having around 70% in high conviction growth stocks that will very likely beat the market, 20% in higher risk but still not very expensive growth stocks, and 10% in higher risk high growth stocks. If I sell my AMD stock pe-earnings, I will likely dump it on META since it's beaten down and fits into my 70% high conviction growth stocks that will likely beat the market. If AMD pops on guidance, I will likely not have a good entry point again. Conflicted.

    AMD earnings are upon us, what can we expect?
    byu/RainieY ininvesting



    Posted by RainieY

    6 Comments

    1. shelanp007 on

      I buyin puts. No matter how much companies crush it these days it always goes down.

    2. Plead_thy_fifth on

      Brother, you need to diversify. I don’t feel like adding it all up, but call it $1m portfolio. If you had $1m cash, would you put $350k in AMD?

      Probably not. That’s ridiculous. Congrats on your growth, now redistribute to make your portfolio make sense. I also bought AMD at $22/share many moons ago. I have redistributed a few times on it, and am about to again.

      Real example; I bought $10k of Peloton during covid and it absolutely boomed. As it went up I sold off some to redistribute twice, but Then it went up to 170k in value, and I got greedy, I knew that if I had $1m I would NOT be putting 170k in Peloton, but that’s what it grew to. The gambling greed hit, Peloton plunged and I lost most of that value. I still came out probably $20k ahead; but had I constantly redistributed I would have probably captured $80k+.

      This has happened with many different stocks for me, square, PayPal, Peloton, palintir, and more. Every time I redistribute, I am thankful. Any time I get greedy and don’t, I regret it.

    3. kinetic_honda on

      I mostly rent AMD ec2 hardware on AWS. I’m doing my part to help with their numbers

    4. mentalwarfare21 on

      I don’t know why I just don’t believe in amd. My largest position is broadcom

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