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    should Jr.Burry load up $TSLA puts ?


    I’m the infamous bear loaded up on $SOXX puts, $SOXL shorts and $RKLB puts. Similar to these I am looking to load up on $TSLA puts if the stock keeps rising in the coming week.

    AI has achieved nothing in the real world other than spitting out code. All the dreams of automating end to end workflows in legal, financial and medical fields are still pipe dreams. I’ve seen how Fortune 500 operate with these AI models and for a majority of them it’s just enabling their tech teams with GitHub copilot or Claude code and they call themselves AI native. They don’t have a clue of building something productive out of these other than chatbots.

    Something that people don’t understand about the predictive nature of these AI models is that IT IS NOT ENOUGH FOR THEM TO BE 99% CORRECT EVEN IF THEY CAN GET THERE. Much of the corporate workflows need 100% accuracy for them to be right. Otherwise there’s still human in the loop trying to make up for downside. This is the prime reason I’m short the semis. Sooner or later these firms(openAI/Anthropic) will be scrutinized for the ROI and unfortunately there’s not going to be any other than coding assistants.

    Now coming back to $TSLA, Elon promised driverless robotaxis on road by end of 2025. It’s almost H1 2026 and robotaxis are no where to be seen. I’ve found a few with drivers within them doing testing though. Having said that I don’t think they’re in a position to launch fully driverless taxis anytime soon. The stock has been up due to the semi rally overall and nothing else.

    I will wait till stock hits $480 and go all in on the puts.

    What do you all think ?

    https://i.redd.it/t3q1s4khgg0h1.jpeg

    Posted by StylizedPortfolio

    23 Comments

    4. MediocreDesigner88 on

      I genuinely hope it works for you. Just do it smart, obviously, so don’t go “all in” and go 30 days out at least

    6. Willing_Turnover5568 on

      I believe TSLA will crash at some point this year but timing it is very difficult.

    8. stuntondeezh0es on

      You’re the first person I’ve ever followed. Too much absolute cinema not to

    10. Illustrious-Coat3532 on

      I trimmed TSLA at an average of $468 last December. Here comes another huge regret coming.

    11. Express-Log3185 on

      waiting for 480 might be risky when momentum can carry it way higher than logic suggests, but your ai thesis is spot on from what i see at work too

    12. SpunkySprinkle on

      So I’m a woman who spent an unfortunate number of years dating in Vegas. I briefly dated a guy who had no education but did well in business being a hustler pretty much. He was a millionaire a couple times over. This man knew NOTHING about the stock market, nothing about asset diversification, never looked at the news, etc. but told me he put his ENTIRE LIFE SAVINGS (a lot) in Tesla. Absolutely nothing else but Tesla. No 401k, no ETFs, no diversification…. Just …… Tesla. Because a dude on a podcast told him it’d make him rich.

      I’m telling you this because Tesla holders are a cult. The Vegas dude-bro cult. They don’t care about your fundamentals, your earnings or even what the overall market is going to do. They. Do. Not. Care.

    13. gls2220 on

      Betting against Elon is like touching a hot stove over and over again. I’ve lost so much fucking money on TSLA downside strategies. And I’m not just buying puts. I’m using spreads to limit my downside. But all these fucking fanboys keep the thing going.

    18. Far-Guava6006 on

      Probably correct, but timing it will be the make or break. A lot of retards have gone broke trying to short TSLA because it trades off of vibes and Elon, and not fundamentals.

    19. GrossFleshSack on

      With SpaceX ipo coming soon I cant see RKLB puts making any sense here. Semiconductors seem like they still have some life, might run a bit more from here after a small pullback before the bigger pullback begins.

    20. Super_Highway_3405 on

      Lol. 

      They’ve had driverless taxis in.. Houston I think for a full quarter.

      I’ll put it to you like this, if the market goes down TSLA will too, and probably in grand fashion. TSLA is a momentum stock.

      Long run you’ll get smoked. 

    22. cbr777 on

      This reminds me of the famous saying by Keynes: “Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent”

      Betting against a meme stock in this insane bull market is just asking for punishment, it’s not that you aren’t correct on the fundamentals, you are, but that won’t help you in bankruptcy court.

    23. wize_9uy on

      The market can stay retarded longer than your life or whatever the saying is. Although I really wish you are right.

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