Arabian sea/Implied Hormuz way down on the daily and the moving average going down as well. There are like ~30 tankers sitting around/turning around in the arabian sea empty. BAM still down too. Haven't had a chance to update Malacca yet will update in a minute. Singapore up a lot on the daily.
Edit: updated Malacca again China is buying what it used to at a minimum.
Sea of Oman to Arabian Sea Implied Dark Traffic:
This is all the oil traffic out to the Arabian sea minus 2.5mb (pre war output of Fujairah and Oman) to estimate the additional output of dark traffic out of Hormuz as well as any additional output from the ADCOP pipeline. Usual traffic should be around 21mb of crude and oil products.
Adding this further crude vs product breakdown for Gulf of Oman to Arabaian Sea as well.
none added for near west coast of india.
Listing the actual ships and their draft/dwt as well as helps check if I messed up with double counts/fills
Data from: https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:63.3/centery:23.5/zoom:7
Bab al Mandab AIS on Traffic:
Oil products going out south from the Red Sea. Usual traffic is around 8mb. Edit: I dont think much is coming out any more from the East/West pipeline its very unclear what is output now. That still means the amount overall is down. The drop below is more from dropping Russian and other sources of usual oil going south out of the red sea as the Yanbu/East/West pipeline is all going north to suez.
Ships: ECO WEST COAST,MARLIN LAGOS,VOZROZHDENIYE,HANUMAN
Data from https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:45.8/centery:12.7/zoom:8
Strait of Malacca:
Usual oil products throughput is 16.5 mb crude and 6mb oil products. Also added how much of that malacca traffic is going to china.
Ships:HE PING HAI,SAPHIRE SHINE,ALMI HERCULES,NEW COROLLA,PHOENIX VANTAGE,C.GLORY,AGIOS FANOURIOS I,UNIVESAL PARTNER,FLAVIN,FRONT RAUMA,HABARI,VIVE UT VIVAS,FRONT EMPIRE,FPMC C NOBLE
Data from https://tankermap.com/analytics/straits/malacca?unit=million_bbl_per_day
Singapore Oil Departures:
Note based on 2024 the average daily output in tonnes was 211,000 tonnes per day. I think 2025/2026 is much higher but they don't yet have official data.
Data from https://tankermap.com/analytics/ports/singapore-oil?unit=million_bbl_per_day
Current Oil Flow Through Major Choke Points – 2026 Oct 13
byu/QFGTrialByFire inoil
Posted by QFGTrialByFire
7 Comments
Looks like the Oman to Arabian see line is off by one day in thr first graph, unless im missing something. Also truly appreciate your work, always look foward to the nightly numbers
I’m assuming the increase in Malacca and Singapore traffic is from the late September traffic uptick?
Are there any public trackers estimating how much oil is available in Singapore tanks/if Singapore is becoming essentially a ‘pipe’ with no reserve/buffer?
Absolute legend for doing this
Yikes.
I’ve seen a few of your posts and it looks like middle east (bab al mandab + sea of oman) is down but malacca/singapore is relatively normal. who’s not getting oil then? or would that gap be accounted for with suez?
Interesting the correlation between Singapore and Malacca. It’s almost as if Iran is winning the war
Thank you man always my hero