Understanding Elliott Wave Theory and Investment Strategies – Andy Tanner and Bob Prechter

    I think several absolutely major
    gigantic areas of investment are
    overblown to a historic maximum welcome
    to the Cashville Academy podcast I’m
    your host Andy Tanner this is where we
    do our very best to make investing and
    all things entrepreneurship cash flow we
    try to make it simple uh wonderful guest
    on on Deck day we have Robert pror and
    uh he is just brilliant um he’s written
    three books we’ll get into uh his
    newsletter and all the things that he
    does but uh just by way of announcement
    drop by
    congratulations on all your success too
    well we we’re we’re trying to move along
    and our success is predicated on the
    success of our students so we’re we’re
    grateful for that you’ve written three
    books you’ve written Elliot wave
    principle key to Market behavior and as
    a as a student of technical analysis I
    find the Elliot wave really different
    from a lot of the technical indicators
    people use so we’ll delve into that and
    I have a few questions on that uh the
    second book last chance to conquer the
    crash you can survive and prosper in a
    deflationary depression that’s a huge
    and and the the blurbs on this book have
    been fantastic some people said this is
    the guide book for depression and we’re
    fighting that constantly it seems with
    the Fed so we’ll talk about inflationary
    pressures we’ll talk about deflationary
    pressures and what those look like and
    then we have the so uh socionomic theory
    of Finance we’ll have you this is a lot
    to cover in the in the time that we have
    then we’ll talk about anything you want
    after that so let’s start off just with
    your background uh I I mentioned before
    we started recording the show that I did
    not go to Yale on a scholarship they
    won’t let in fact I they probably have
    restraining orders of some kind against
    guys like me but but tell us a little
    bit about your pathway to Yale and uh
    what happened after that and that you
    took a different path than many of your
    classmates yeah well I went to high
    school in Atlanta Georgia I was born as
    connected New York but my father worked
    for General Electric so he was
    transferred to Atlanta when I was seven
    years old so I grew up there and then
    went to the Northeast for college uh
    spent 14 years there thereafter living
    in Connecticut in New York in the
    surrounding
    areas um when I got out of
    college um I really did not want to
    pursue uh the major that I took which
    was
    psychology I was beginning to get
    interested in finance um I was in a band
    and played music for a few years my
    father was a subscriber to Richard
    Russell’s Dow Theory letters which I
    loved and from the first moment I got
    introduced to the financial markets I
    was tight with technical analysis um I
    got a job at meril Lynch in 1975 working
    for the market analysis Department under
    Bob frell who was an absolutely terrific
    boss um and we did technical analysis
    and each each major analyst in the group
    had a specialty um one guy specialized
    in options one guy in interest rates and
    my specialty was the wave principle RN
    Elliot’s theory of market movement and
    time Cycles so that was a lot of fun and
    then in 1979 I split went independent my
    wife and I started a business on the
    kitchen table and here we are today well
    you mentioned uh your musical background
    I thought it was interesting because on
    the cover of one of your books there’s
    uh in the background if you look careful
    there’s a bit of a score that I noticed
    and I thought and and I thought to
    myself I’m my my sisters are very
    accomplished pianists you know they can
    play the the chopan and the classical
    stuff of course to rebel against my
    parents I became a drummer which is what
    you do when you don’t have the talent
    your sisters have but I think there’s
    there I I surprise you brought that up
    and not because when if you have some
    musical training
    uh you’ll hear things differently than
    other people will for example if uh if I
    listen to Peter Gabriel’s Salsbury Hill
    I noticed that that’s in 74 time which
    is an odd time signature literally an
    odd time signature and then he’ll go to
    two bars of 44 and back to 74 and you
    know as you if you understand scales and
    key changes and Dynamics and as an
    arranger you might even see the
    potentials of what the song could have
    been and you listen to things different
    ly if you have that training well I
    think the markets are very much the same
    is when I look at a at a chart uh I
    might as and I’m an amateur musician and
    an amateur technical analysis but I’ll
    see things that maybe other people don’t
    see in those charts so I thought that
    was kind of an interesting comment uh
    that I noticed that in your resume that
    you were a musician well in fact drums
    were my instrument as well oh so we’re
    percussionists we like to beat on things
    my band actually got some interest we
    had a record company was interested in
    us and we ended up doing a demo record
    album um of songs that I wrote sometimes
    in partnership with one of the guitar
    players and um it ended up uh just being
    a demo album we we were never signed but
    it’s kind of caught on
    underground and was quite I found out
    later that copies were going for $75 in
    Japan
    [Laughter]
    Bon ch’s Big in Japan I guess whatever
    so so somebody contacted me from
    California and he said you know I I love
    obscure albums and and I have an
    arrangement with somebody in Korea and
    we print CDs out of them so they ended
    up making a CD and and if you go to uh
    Robert precor.com and click on the bio
    you can scroll down and and find out
    where you can uh hear the malous sounds
    of the band I was in back in 197 that’s
    that’s fantastic well music has to do
    with uh pitch duration Tempo and uh
    technical analysis has uh a similar a
    similar thing is that we’re traveling in
    time uh left to right so we have timing
    that goes on and we have it ups and
    downs as well well listen about you know
    you get an ear when you play music for a
    while you get an ear you can tell uh you
    know seven eight time from 44 and all
    that sort of thing uh you can tell when
    somebody’s on key or off key uh you know
    what a Harmony above and Harmony below
    are about um and that is definitely the
    case if you study stock market charts
    for a while when I started it was 1973
    and I was keeping charts of gold and
    charts of the Industrial Average by hand
    and um after a while I started realizing
    that you know this this Elliot wave um
    uh Discovery I would say that markets
    move in waves predetermined essentially
    waves of patterns of psychological
    change so when people are um you know
    really scared and then they start
    changing toward more optimistic they go
    through a series of psychological
    changes and they show up as chart
    changes and I was looking at these
    charts saying yeah I can see the five
    waves going in the direction of the main
    Trend and three waves going against the
    trend you know over and over again there
    must be something to it and that’s what
    kicked it off what’s been different for
    me with Elliot wave theory and and for
    those that uh you know I we have a very
    educated audience uh very sophistic ated
    by and large but we all have have some
    newbies that I try to reassure that if
    you stick with it this stuff will will
    start to stick but you know I look at at
    the opportunities of the market both
    from a a cash flow standpoint which is
    really what I believe is a better
    Foundation than a capital gain
    standpoint at least in everyone kind of
    finds their Rhythm so for example I’d
    rather collect rent than flip a house
    and I’ll look at a chart of price action
    that I get from Zillow on my proper
    properties they seem to think I care if
    my property went up or down a certain
    amount but it’s really the rent that I’m
    worried about and in
    equities I love a foundation with great
    dividend and I will use a lot of my
    technical analysis you know stocks I
    like to own options you have to trade
    you can’t own an option uh they’re going
    to expire so you have to be a bit of a
    technical analyst and understand that
    timing but I found as a technical guy I
    like to choose a range better in a
    direction it’s just easy iier for me to
    say look I think this option you talked
    about above and below I think this this
    call option is going to expire out of
    the money I think this put options going
    to expire out of the money and I’ll use
    that cash flow to supplement I also you
    know I I get support and resistance um
    you know this is where people a lot of
    people bought this a lot of people sold
    a macd might say hey things are changed
    momentum but El wave theory uh has
    always been an enigma to me because it
    has to do with I just feel like there’s
    so much chaos in the market how do those
    five patterns why is it five and not
    three uh why is it that we see Fibonacci
    numbers in in nautiluses and in galaxies
    and in snail shells you know why is it
    this way well you you use the word chaos
    what’s interesting here is that the
    market appears chaotic but it’s actually
    quite structured because it’s a fractal
    and here is ourn Elliot back in 19 35
    through 1938 when he finally wrote his
    first
    book studying Market movements and
    saying I think that the components of
    the waves that I’ve discerned um add up
    and create the larger versions of the
    very same picture and those add up to
    create larger versions the very same
    picture and he described something that
    Beno mandelo many decades later
    described as a fractal and he found
    fractals and cotton prices and other
    things so Elliot was way ahead of his
    time but unlike
    uh the other people who studied fractals
    um Elliot said it’s not an indefinite
    fractal um but it’s not a self-identical
    one either if it were self-identical
    everybody could glance at the Mark oh I
    know exactly where it is so that’s not
    the way it is and the word term I use is
    robust fractal which means there’s an
    essential design but plenty of room for
    differences in duration differences in
    price movement differences in percentage
    price movement um and that’s what gives
    uh the market its structure but the
    leeway is what gives the market options
    and it’s always got options and you need
    to study what we call the rules and
    guidelines of the way waves develop it’s
    a whole other subject but my son has
    been went to MIT and he’s been working
    on a computer program uh that discerns
    OT waves and and U it’s doing an amazing
    job of doing that and we’re about to
    prove I believe in an academic paper
    that Elliot waves are real because the
    other side of the coin that people argue
    is oh the Market’s random that the daily
    changes for example tea leaves right
    we’re seeing stuff in the tea leaves
    people say yeah yeah that’s an old uh
    comment but people are are waking up to
    the fact that there’s something else
    going on there U but we’re I think we’re
    going to be able to show that random
    distributions of of individual market
    prices do not produce aliot waves
    whereas actual Market changes do produce
    El waves so I’m looking forward to that
    I’m hoping sometime late this year uh we
    might have a paper on this subject and
    get it up into the site oh we we have to
    have you back when that happens uh pick
    up a copy of Elliot W principle key to
    Market Behavior as part of your library
    I read lots of books on technical
    analysis and fundamental analysis if
    you’re going to be an investor uh more
    more knowledge is better for sure let’s
    talk a little bit about uh last chance
    to conquer the crash uh I see lots of
    deflationary forces I see inflationary
    forces to me technology is largely
    deflationary
    because we get more with less uh I look
    at my cell phone today and what I get
    for it in terms of what I pay and what
    it would have taken to replicate those
    benefits 20 years ago or 40 years ago it
    would have cost you know multiples of of
    what it does so I I think globalization
    is deflationary we saw in covid uh where
    we we had more localization and and it
    was certainly uh uh you know rough that
    rough that way or inflationary and so we
    have pressures and and we look at the
    amount of money I I I look at the
    Federal Reserve uh liability side with
    those four main accounts uh they have
    the treasury which they keep their money
    not a big deal they have the repo Market
    which has grown the reverse repo Market
    they have uh the currency in circulation
    which I think is the biggest measure of
    inflation and then they have the the one
    that I worry about which is after the
    crash of 08 they let you put deposits at
    the FED there’s a lot of money at the
    FED that they just hold there as
    deposits they can pull it out and Loan
    it any time that they’d be able to so I
    see the FED is in a very difficult place
    in that they’re they’re looking to
    freeze interest rates but uh I still
    think they could have some infl
    inflationary pressure because of the
    amount of currency in the economy so
    with that long- winded question uh what
    do you think about the fed’s uh position
    and
    rates first of all I like to distinguish
    uh when people use the term inflation or
    deflation between prices changing and
    the actual mechanism of inflating which
    is to create new money or new credit so
    to me uh things such as technology and
    Innovation do lead to lower prices but
    that’s very different from at least in
    my mind from inflation or deflation
    which is entirely a function of the
    money supply money supply and the credit
    Supply now uh the FED as you know since
    it was created in
    1913 uh created a whole bunch of new
    accounting units that they call money
    which is not money but they’re just
    accounting and recently they got up to
    nine trillion of them uh that is
    inflationary and unfortunately their
    mission is also to extend credit it’s
    also to back up the banks so that the
    banks can extend way more credit that
    they than they would ever consider
    extending the free market because they
    would be liable and they’d have to make
    sure that they recovered the money that
    they lent out well now that the fed’s
    backing them up they don’t have to do
    that that’s the whole reason it was
    created so that the the banks could use
    other people’s money to get rich and
    never lose you know so it’s a racket
    however some interesting things have
    been going on recently and I know you’re
    up with this as well and that is that
    the FED has been actually decreasing its
    balance sheet to the greatest percentage
    amount that’s ever occurred now that you
    have to weigh that against the
    background of well they just created
    Morey n
    trillion 2008 they created eight
    trillion new dollars and what was it
    2022 I think yeah still um that is a
    very that not just a rare thing it’s
    Unique that they have decrease the money
    supply by that amount and I think that’s
    one of the headwinds uh that the markets
    are facing right now um but the big
    problem is not just the not the fed’s
    balance sheet as big as it is it’s the
    fact that that has been the basis for
    Lending on top of lending on top of
    lending on top of derivative creation
    and all of it is IUS and they you know
    at least one quadrillion worth out some
    even more than that so that is the issue
    and if credit if if debtors ever start
    defaulting and and I’m sure you’ve
    noticed recently credit card defaults
    are a new all-time high on a percentage
    basis right now when when debtor start
    saying I can’t I’m sorry I can’t pay to
    me that is when you’re at the risk of of
    a deflation that is Swift and huge and
    something that the FED would have
    extreme difficulty combating I I think
    we’re going to have a they call this the
    everything bubble and you spoke of the
    the you know the derivatives that are
    there The Leverage that is there there
    certainly is a federal reserve put as
    people used to call it the bernacki put
    it’s really the fed put and it’s it’s
    not really a capitalistic idea because
    capitalism is built on someone’s ability
    to fail and uh those guys you know they
    they’ll get bailed out with the with the
    policy change and you know there it is
    so it I I do think a big one coming
    however I think it
    presents just one of the most massive
    opportunities it’s hard to put your
    finger on it because I look at our
    fiscal irresponsibility that’s not
    helping things um the the the the CBO or
    uh uh the the Congressional budget
    office and the treasury all three
    reports use the word unsustainable
    fiscal path referring to the promised
    money not necessarily the borrowed but
    the promised of what is that 200
    trillion or whatever it is either way
    it’s right yes it’s it’s more than we
    our GDP cannot generate uh enough taxes
    to to cover that stuff we have to borrow
    to sustain so when that falls apart um
    tell us a little bit about the last
    chance to conquer the TR crash can you
    give me a couple of uh tidbits from
    prospering in the deflationary in in in
    a depression obviously uh cash becomes
    more valuable so people tend to want
    that is it precious metals is it is it
    estate is it just being a general
    producer uh give me a couple of tidbits
    on uh conquering conquering those
    deflationary environments yeah I think
    several absolutely major gigantic areas
    of investment are overblown to a
    historic maximum and they’re in the
    stock market which is the most
    overvalued it’s ever been it’s in the
    real estate market which was bulled up
    recently by Wall Street institutions who
    decided that houses were investment and
    we can talk about as well I don’t think
    they are but they currently think one
    day they’re going to dump them when they
    finally when they’re down 50% and they
    you realize oh we gotta keep we have to
    keep fixing the things up every year
    every time somebody moves out because
    it’s a uh they’re going to just dump
    those things so I think there are
    declines likely in stocks likely in real
    estate and definitely likely in
    corporate bonds especially the junk area
    all we need is a much less a depression
    and those things are not going to pay
    off and then you’ve got Bitcoin which
    people went crazy over and you’ve got
    nfts which people went crazy over I
    think all of those things are either so
    overdone you don’t want to touch them or
    already beginning uh to head into bare
    markets so what are the Alternatives
    well in January 2022 I wrote this book
    last chance to conquer the crash and I
    said we’re go we want the Investments
    that everybody is
    ignoring and the biggest one and you’re
    a cash flow guy uh is treasury bills and
    a version of treasury bills uh called
    floating rate notes F frns which I
    stumbled across a few years ago and I
    said these things are glorious what they
    do is they’re a two-year note but
    they’re pegged every 90 days to the t-
    bill rate so the FL rate fluctuates and
    you don’t have to roll them over every
    30 60 or 90 days you just let the note
    sit there and do it for you and you
    don’t buy a new one for two years out
    well as you know interest rates started
    up uh around that time
    back to the highest levels in many years
    at
    5.4 I think is the yield right now in t-
    bills that’s way more than the S&P is
    yielding which is one and a half per. so
    people have to absolutely believe in
    capital gains uh if they’re going to own
    the S&P and the NASDAQ especially which
    has no dividends to speak of so uh that
    is one of the main areas and the other
    areas i’ liked and still like are gold
    and silver because they’ve been
    completely ignored um and now gold has
    been making it’s popping it’s popping
    and guess what else started popping
    about a month ago or two months ago and
    that was silver um so I’m not saying
    these things are going to make anybody
    Rich um I don’t know where they’re going
    but I would avoid all of the areas that
    are overvalued and over owned and over
    they’re in Manas frankly they’re they’re
    at the top of Manas in my view and get
    these things that nobody is paying
    attention to and here’s a little clue
    about about gold or whether it has more
    to go on the upside even though it’s at
    a new all-time high small
    Traders uh which are reported on by uh
    commodity Futures Trading commission are
    selling into the rally now these are
    people that will be buying when the top
    occurs there’s no question about it but
    now they’re cautious they oh Gold’s in
    alltime high I need to sell it I think
    it’s early enough in the gold Trend to
    say you know we’re not we don’t want to
    get out of that stuff yet I think
    there’s a lot more to go and when things
    get tough I think people are going to go
    in that that direction uh you mentioned
    the the expensive nature of the markets
    right now I I was looking at uh the
    Schiller PE index recently and we’re
    paying about as much for a dollar of
    earnings as we ever have and it made me
    think of the people in a 40K who are on
    autopilot and I I I wish they would I
    wish we had more listeners to this
    program because you know if you have
    $1,000 a month you can put away in a
    401k that’s buying you less and less in
    terms of shares or in real estate you
    might say you’re getting less square
    feet if you want to put it that way
    you’re just your your bang for your buck
    isn’t going anywhere what is
    socionomics well U one day I was in
    working in maril Lynch and I looked up
    at the wall chart and I had been a
    musician and I began to think about the
    change in the tenor and tone of music
    that occurred around
    1965 and um it was you know pretty much
    joyous and happy and that sort of thing
    up till that time from from the late 50s
    right into 1964 and 65 and then it
    started getting a little edgy and you
    know after that you you got into heavy
    metal and there was punk rock and all
    that sort of stuff in the 70s and um I
    said you know I wonder if there’s a
    correlation here well long story short
    that led to a theory of mine which is
    that
    uh human beings in society uh experience
    waves of social
    mood and so I finally had sort of an
    understanding of why there are such
    things as Elliot waves in the stock
    market I think human moods when they’re
    colle in a collective and people are
    talking to each other and sharing
    experiences and and sharing their
    emotions and everything else uh creates
    a social mood overall that fluctuates in
    this fractal pattern so what do people
    do when their mood changes their
    behavior changes and they start acting
    to express the mood as they get more
    optimistic they’ll do several things
    they’ll buy more stocks so that’s why
    why you see the waves in the stock
    market uh they’ll also expand their
    businesses a little bit perhaps or take
    a few more gambles out there in business
    and that’s why business follows the
    stock market it’s stock market’s a
    leading indicator of the economy for
    that reason it takes a while once you
    make a decision to do something business
    wise that that works out and then uh
    they also do some other things they they
    write and play and buy happier music uh
    they go to different kinds of movies in
    bare markets so horror movies I found
    out tended to be very popular in periods
    of negative social mood such as really
    yeah 1930s the early 40s uh back again
    in the in the 70s from the very late 60s
    through the 70s into the early 80s was a
    big uh period for horror movies so you
    find it in all walks of life we found
    some 40 40 some different uh data series
    that correlated with the stock market
    because they’re all reflecting changes
    in social mood so I wrote an 800 page
    book eventually took me a while to
    codify all this into a theory um and
    it’s called the socionomic theory of
    Finance I had written four other books
    on socionomics prior to that talking
    about cultural changes and things but I
    realized that this idea is a whole
    different Paradigm from
    standard economics now I think economics
    is a valid uh field when it comes to
    microeconomics but I think uh waves of
    social mood explain changes in the macro
    better yeah big positive mood gives you
    an expanding economy negative mood gives
    you a Contracting economy it with with a
    lag for the reason we just discussed um
    and also their idea of Finance is wrong
    they try to claim that prices go up and
    down due to supply and demand and I have
    numerous chapters explaining why that’s
    it’s completely different in finance
    there’s no such thing as supply and
    demand there are only uh speculators on
    both sides and the guy who buys at at
    noon could be a seller at one o’clock so
    you don’t have a separate group
    ofers and consumers
    um you know acting in their roles they
    can play they’re playing the same role
    speculating all the time and because
    there are no
    constraints uh on how people feel and
    what their moods is the market is
    dynamic and you notice the economic
    Market is not Dynamic the price of a
    hammer on Thursday is the same it’s
    going to be next week pretty much with
    long-term you know changes in inflation
    affecting it but that’s it uh in the in
    the financial markets dynamis is the
    everyday occurrence it’s a completely
    different world and economists don’t
    understand that that makes a lot of
    sense to me in in that uh Finance is
    man-made not Nature Made um I suppose we
    could study you know the we could go to
    the serengetti and look at resources and
    people that fight over them but I often
    sit out by my waterfall and I’ll I’ll
    look at a little bit of Nature and
    especially during Co I’d look I have
    these two red foxes that go through my
    property and I think those two things
    they don’t even know CO’s going on right
    now you know they don’t even know and so
    it would it would make sense that since
    you know things like money are man-made
    you know the fed and what you like to
    call the units which I would agree of
    whatever it is units of debt or good
    faith um that this is man-made and that
    man’s moods and
    thoughts it I feel old now because I
    sound like my parents finally it took a
    long time
    but I say wow what a time we live in you
    know my my father used to think you know
    things were going to hell in a hand
    basket I think it’s fascinating time to
    be alive uh with social media
    AI uh artificial intelligence I mean
    it’s it’s a fun time to be alive just to
    grab your popcorn and watch the movie so
    pick up Elway principle key to Market
    Behavior if you uh want to sharpen your
    technical analysis skills pick I I
    really am excited I have not not I’ll
    confess I have not read a last chance to
    conquer the crash and so that’s one that
    I really care about because I really
    believe that there’s assets that benefit
    from inflation assets that benefit from
    deflation and if you put those in your
    balance sheet in the right order you can
    benefit regardless of what happens and
    then uh pick up socionomic theory of
    Finance uh fascinating work uh by Robert
    pror fascinating stuff um last thing on
    uh I often as an education Advocate I
    wound up Landing I wind up Landing the
    same place often on a podcast what is
    your feeling on financial
    education in the general populace uh in
    the electorate you know there’s skills
    for hire if I go to the dentist I’m
    having him do the root canal not me I
    don’t how how to do that myself uh
    delivering a baby I’m sure people have
    done that out of expediency but I’d
    rather have a midwife at a minimum if
    not a full-on hospital for my wife uh to
    have a baby is financial literacy is
    this something we hire out to Wall
    Street or is this a life skill and what
    is the place and role of uh Financial
    education right now as you see it it’s
    definitely a life skill however I must
    admit to being somewhat of a cynic on
    how much better your life will be if you
    get involved in financial markets and
    and how smart the smart people really
    are you know uh that the Swiss Central
    Bank holds billions of dollars worth of
    stocks in the S&P 500 a third of their
    uh stock portfolio reflects the top
    third capitalization waiting in the S&P
    now these are people who presumably have
    studied Finance all their lives and the
    best they can come up with is to buy the
    is to do is to do what the Market’s
    going to do anyway with no education
    right is that what you’re saying yeah
    it’s pitiful so you have to not only
    study markets but you have to be a
    Maverick you have to be an independent
    thinker and if you go to a normal
    advisor they will tell you yeah you
    should be 60% stocks and and 30% bonds
    and 10% cash and when they’re really
    excited they’ll tell you you need to be
    80% stocks and that sort of thing but
    but uh stock Pickers have have gone away
    except per perhaps for you because
    you’re an income guy and you’re looking
    at that sort of thing um it these are
    law skills that were around when I was
    young and entering the business
    everybody was you know looking at things
    like that but now everybody is just an
    index person so yeah you learn a lot do
    it on your own uh be skeptical of of
    everything um and anybody who’s offering
    some education take it just don’t assume
    it’s gospel and then includes you know
    whatever I teach people about what I
    think markets are about make up your
    own agreed there’s a big difference that
    people hard they have a hard time
    delineating uh education from advice and
    people often you know there’s different
    questions I get the ones I hate are well
    FY if you had $10,000 what would you buy
    right now or is gold good you know stuff
    like that but if they say hey let’s talk
    about gold being fungible okay well now
    we’re learning something right now we’re
    learning something you’re absolutely
    right people come up to me at
    conferences and say you know you have
    you got a tip and I said yeah I said
    what is it I said don’t get involved in
    the markets and they would what do you
    mean I mean you’re in the business you
    don’t know what you’re doing well yeah
    and and I barely know what I’m doing
    because the markets are are sometimes
    overwhelming in the way the herd behaves
    and it takes it to ridiculous Extremes
    in both directions um and and they said
    well well then what would you do and I’d
    say frankly start a business and you
    know make money and put it in very safe
    places well it’s interesting you say
    that because I couldn’t give advice
    because the things I like the things I
    do excuse me my mom can’t do right um it
    it’d be like saying what do you think
    Andy how how should you get to Hawaii
    they say well get behind the cockpit of
    747 and drive it well if you don’t know
    how to do that that advice is is
    meaningless so one wonderful uh
    conversation I hope I can uh have you
    back when the the paper’s done because
    that will be a
    fascinating uh publish when you publish
    that and that’ll be reviewed I suppose
    and the whole bit so that’ll be awesome
    hope so and maybe you could have my son
    whose name happens to be Elliott uh
    really Elliot pror yeah when it’s all
    done he’s a he’s a good interview so you
    might want to talk to him and before we
    go I have one thing I want to say to
    your uh listeners viewers um my my
    marketing arm said it was very excited
    that okay we’re going to do this podcast
    with Andy Tanner and so can we create a
    landing page and I said sure oh yeah
    absolutely put it out there we we we
    sell conquer the crash for $99 but I
    think they’ve set up a landing page
    where it’s a whole lot cheaper than that
    uh for a short period of time and also
    uh some links to subscri you know thing
    subscriptions with with special deals
    for your people so all they have to do
    is go to Elliot wave.com
    Andy oh awesome Elliott with two L’s and
    two T’s wave like on the ocean.com Andy
    and and fantastic well we we appreciate
    that uh that generosity and that gift to
    our listeners because uh one thing I
    know about the people that follow us we
    care about learning a lot so that’s
    fantastic we’ll have that put in the
    show notes as well uh particularly on
    the YouTube channel so they can uh they
    can take advantage of of uh of that
    offer fantastic stuff uh Robert pror
    hang on just a bit so I can properly
    thank you after I close the show you’ve
    been listening and watching the cash
    flow Academy podcast this is where we do
    our best to make things simple hope we
    helped you advance your thinking and
    gave you some food for thought about
    learning uh in terms of ell wave theory
    in terms of deflationary defense and how
    the psychology of of each generation
    affects the markets we’ll see you next
    time this podcast is a presentation of
    richdad media Network

    In this episode of the Cashflow Academy podcast, host Andy Tanner interviews Robert Prechter, a renowned author, and expert in financial markets, where they discuss investment overvaluations, Elliott Wave Theory, and strategies for surviving in deflationary depressions.

    Prechter shares his journey from a psychology graduate to a pioneer in technical analysis, emphasizing the crucial role of independent thinking in navigating the financial markets. Tanner and Prechter dissect the nuances of market behaviors, the impact of social mood on economic trends, and the potential for leveraging treasury bills and precious metals in uncertain times.

    Special Offer for CashFlow Academy Viewers: https://bit.ly/3vVXXGs

    00:00 Introduction
    02:02 Robert Prechter’s Journey: From Music to Market Analysis
    07:13 Exploring the Elliott Wave Theory
    12:17 Understanding Deflationary Forces and the Fed’s Role
    18:38 Investment Strategies in Overblown Markets
    22:41 Socionomics: The Intersection of Social Mood and Markets
    28:57 The Importance of Financial Education and Independent Thinking
    33:25 Special Offers for Listeners and Closing Thoughts

    —–

    Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or engage in any financial activity.

    The content presented here is based on the speaker’s personal opinions and research, which may not always be accurate or up-to-date. Financial markets and investments carry inherent risks, and individuals should conduct their own research and seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.

    6 Comments

    1. Financial planning is like navigation. If you know where you are and where you want to go, navigation isn't such a great problem. It's when you don't know the two points that it's difficult

    2. Absolutely loved the insights on the Elliott Wave Theory in this video! If you found this interesting, you should definitely check out "Which is a better hedge and for what risks?" It dives deep into market dynamics, Bitcoin halving, gold's role in market fluctuations, and much more. Just enter the title in the search bar. You won't regret it!

    3. Elliot wave is a good technical indicator but it’s not always accurate and it usually requires the help of other indicators like the fibbonacci retracement. I for one prefer the fibbonacci as the results tend to be more accurate

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