CRYPTO INVESTING POST BITCOIN HALVING: WHY IT’S TOUGH TO LOSE. SEC WINS & HEDERA
hello everybody Welcome to the Wednesday
live stream so we got a lot of things to
go over let’s just jump right in so
today as we take a look at the markets I
don’t usually take a look at the markets
per se but it’s I think it’s important
some days to actually just to give this
relevance as time goes on and people
look back at certain videos so today we
can see that there’s quite a little bit
of a drop going on and uh this is April
24th it’s around High Noon Eastern
Standard Time if you’re watching this
video or when we splice this up you
might see a little later and it might be
much different but uh bitcoin’s down 3%
24 hours 64,000 actually I think
everything’s down less 24 hours let me
see if anything’s up
Tron uh wow hadera’s up well we’ll talk
about this the hadera harar situation
still up 20% but over the last hour it’s
a sea of red what’s happening anybody’s
guess probably more uh sellers than
buyers and I’m sure somebody will come
up with some fantastic reason as to far
as why this is actually dipping but this
is what we have
I really am not concerned about the
short term what I’m talking about today
and of course the whole point of the
thumbnail and title was really even it’s
it’s hard to to
lose as we invest moving forward posst
having and even like the losers win I’m
not saying that what I’m going to talk
about right now are losers as far as
crypto but as far as like some of the
fastest horses definitely not what I
want to take a look at was of course I
don’t have a crystal ball I can’t go
forward but I can go in reverse and just
see how things have gone since we just
had our having on 19th of April 2024 I
want to take a look back uh historically
and this is from coin market cap the
historical reference as we take a look
at the top 10 as of 17th of May 2020
17th of May 2020 and what I can see here
is that uh this is some of you are going
to laugh but this is how it was back
then and we can see that uh the top
10 it was Bitcoin eum which hasn’t
changed too much xrp which could do no
wrong and of course the xrp community
got hosed as time went on and they were
entangled in the SEC uh grips and we’ll
talk about their loss and wins today
tether then number five Bitcoin cash and
Bitcoin SV because back then everybody
thought that everything had to do with
Bitcoin was going to be fantastic and
that didn’t really turn out to be
correct Litecoin binance coin EOS and
tasos and then rounding out the next two
is stellar and cardano and chain link
and Monero and stuff like that so what I
want to do was just extrapolate that and
just to see how things are as if we
pulled forward and what we could have
done and again like I like we talked
about yesterday we talked about dollar
cost averaging and how that doesn’t
really work too well I mean it still
works uh but it doesn’t work as great as
if you dyamic
DCA and we proved it we took a look at
POS having just the things to do and and
uh just watch the video I don’t I we
don’t have time for that here that’s
outside the scope of this video itself
what I want to show you today is what
would happen if we would have said you
know what I’m going to take these top 10
because this is what I knew back then
that’s that’s what I know today this is
all you know Bitcoin ethereum tether BNB
salana USD staked either xrp and
Dogecoin and ton coin on the top 10 so
that’s all you know next in 4 years it
could be totally different as opposed to
taking a look at this that’s why
altcoins are so risky and that’s why
people talk about Bitcoin so much so
let’s just take that historical
reference and just do this let’s just do
a lump sum and throw in a thousand bucks
okay $1,000 into the top 10 as of uh May
17th 2020 and in all honesty even if you
would have done that at that point
that’s why I say it’s kind of hard to
lose when I put this together this
morning I was like damn it’s like almost
impossible
I mean it’s possible trust me uh I can
as as as far as Traders go they have an
in inordinate ability to grasp or to
take
back defeat from the jaws of Victory by
not selling
so if I did $1,000 right again roughly I
put this in May 12th let’s just do May
17th just to keep things
on the up and up as we just talked about
so May 17th I put $1,000 in and I put it
into ethereum B&B xrp Bitcoin cash
Litecoin tasos EOS what was the other
one I think I missed
one oh Bitcoin SV let’s see if I can add
that
in that the because that’s Bitcoin cash
it might not be here because oh my God
it is well congratulations you’ve got
Bitcoin s fee so even if you would do
that and you put $1,000 in and didn’t do
anything because you’re like I don’t
want a DCA I got a th000 bucks look at
the Returns
on let’s take April
23rd uh you would have outperformed
dollar cost Avenue I’ll tell you that
right now Bitcoin you’re up 400% you
invested a th000 you got 5,500 it’s
pretty good xrp you would have he would
have be Bitcoin 4.81% ethereum 1, 144%
wow it’s pretty good and then B&B you
would have crushed
it crushed it at almost $30,000 but then
what I want you to to notice is that
even if you would to put it into I’m not
going to say losers but let’s be honest
some of these totally underperformed uh
tasos EOS Bitcoin cash Litecoin and
Bitcoin SV you’re still up 30% 84% 112%
and 240% and also 41% so
again this is why I say like when we’re
doing these things like post having
you’re in the right place at the right
time can I tell you what to invest in
and how much to invest in and that it’s
going to be all right and and Rainbows
are going to shoot out of every no
that’s not what I’m saying but I’m
saying if you just take a look back it’s
hard to screw this up and the only way
you screw this up quite honestly even if
let’s see let’s take November 2022
that’s roughly uh the bottom look at
this I didn’t even think about this it’s
all right now they in 24
2022 you’re still up 1700% on BNB you’re
still up 41% on ethereum xrp you’re up
100% Litecoin 80% and Bitcoin you’re up
77% now
again losers taso Zoo Bitcoin stoi
Vision ah Bitcoin cash you’re down 50%
60 to
80% but it’s
it’s tough it it’s tough to to screw
this up moving forward so that’s just
that’s just that
piece and I also want to show you this
because right now because we’re stuck in
this time frame we’re stuck in this this
zone of stasis where we think that okay
well this is awful things are down 3%
we’re we’re kind of chopping sideways
what happened to having everything is
supposed to go up ah it’s not how it
works if you take a look here again time
in the market is much more important
some days than timing the market
everybody’s down for the hour as far as
like ethereum cardano I mean everything
in the top 20 30 or something like that
you’re down over the hour you’re all red
congratulations over a day the only
people that are up are algo for some
misinformation quite honestly and maker
I guess one week you’re up but over one
month you’re down but here’s the here’s
the great glorious thing about doing
what you did in the bare Market over the
200 day average or 200 days look how
much you’re up I mean you’re up big time
Bitcoin you’re up 131% what’s on 200
you’re up on Avalanche oh yeah 250% for
Avalanche salana 500% 180% for BNB 104%
for maker 117 I mean you get where I’m
going here the only
loser right now for the 200 day is
Monero and Monero gets gets crushed all
the time because it’s a privacy chain
and uh the centralized exchanges don’t
want to list it because they don’t want
to deal with the SEC even though there a
bunch of losers I’m saying losers a lot
today I really shouldn’t it’s very
negative and then of course over one
year most people are up except for madic
so again it’s tough to be a loser but
people will say but Rob you don’t
understand this time is different it’s
so different because of the ETFs and how
and how far we’re going I have to agree
in some in some ways although I was kind
of it was an interesting find I think
most people know this but it’s it’s it’s
good to bring this to light here’s the
Bitcoin Holdings over time and you can
see that in the beginning it’s all
grayscale this little blue Mark right
here this nice little
blue uh bar you can see that when this
started on January 10th it was all
grayscale and of course they started
dumping and dumping and dumping so and
but the whole thing I wanted to show you
was that as far as like the total as far
as Bitcoin units it’s 620,000 give or
take 620,000 but if you notice over the
first uh month or so
it wasn’t like there was a huge influx
of people it was just grayscale dumping
and other people buying mostly Black
Rock and gray SC I mean uh Black Rock
fbtc and what was the other one
Fidelity so it wasn’t it’s just like it
went from 620,000 to 650,000 over a
month it’s just changing hands yes it’s
a lot of volume I get it but then if we
come over here we can see that we’re
actually at around
820,000 so over the course of
oh three months or so 200,000 have
fallen into the hands of the ET efforts
which is fine and uh excuse me 200,000
over three
months and just to take a look at it
just to kind of Z just kind of zoom in
for a bit April 23rd there was a lot of
outflows look at grayscale almost a
thousand for as far as units and then
we’ve had you know a good amount of
inflows so they’re soaking up all the
things but I think it’s just like
switching of hands and a slow Point yes
there will be a supply shock at some
point yes Grace gal will run out of this
time yes I understand that but I gotta
tell you 200,000 over three months you
know was 200,000 Bitcoin themselves
micro strategy micro strategy just by
itself this is from Bitcoin Treasures
you can see that they have over they
have 24, 246 Bitcoins so yes I
understand that uh you know things are a
little bit different now and I can see I
can see the point I think again I think
this is this is great timing for us as
as time goes on but then people will say
but Rob what about the macro because you
know Drome Powell is higher for longer
uh we’re doing a quantitative tightening
doesn’t seem as not as much near as
quantitative easing we see some uh signs
of weakness in the uh in the economy
itself and of course you know we’ve got
massive debt and I got to agree with you
but I will say this this is from the US
debt Clock I don’t know if you ever seen
this but it’s fascinating because you
can just see the US national debt every
time I turn this thing on it’s like
another trillion national debt is over
30 4 trillion here in the US I don’t
know where you’re at but we love
debt and you can see that the federal
debt the GDP ratio usually don’t want
this anywhere near 80% and we’re at 122%
this is what backs essentially the money
printing we’re 122% debt to GDP ratio
and it’s never it’s not going to go down
the only way out of this
situation of what we’re doing right here
I hate to say it it it’s going to be
some money printing
and the printer is going to go Burr and
what happens when the printer goes Burr
well it’s very simple if you take the M2
money supply and overlay this that’s
that’s everything in red right here and
overlay it with anything S&P 500 what do
you notice as the money goes up so does
the S&P 500 let’s take a look at the
down J’s Industrial Average roughly the
same thing let’s take a look
at oh our favorite how about the total
market cap of
crypto say same thing how about if we
just take like just Bitcoin itself look
at that just straight
up uh Bitcoin because that’s the king
roughly the same thing because that’s
that’s the number one crypto that’s
going to be for a long time I don’t
think anything’s going to flip that and
then people will say but you don’t
understand because you know we’ve never
gone up in quantitative tightening yeah
we have yes we have and you to see right
here yes in March 2022 as we of course
came out of the largest bull run uh not
for crypto itself but for for for most
markets you can see that yeah we dropped
off and we were consolidating we were
quantitative tightening but look what
happens even though we’re going down see
that blue mark That’s
Bitcoin it has gone up ETFs helped a lot
I still say that we’re going to turn the
money printers back on and when that
happens I think there should be some
quite explosion of prices I could be
wrong let me know where I’m wrong here
in the comments comment section and uh
that’ll take part of that again I think
it’s just if you just stick around I
think it’s very hard to screw this up
but who knows so there’s that piece and
then also I want to talk about this real
quick uh harar Foundation this was a big
news I was going to do a live stream
yesterday but I just put out a
pre-recorded video which talked about
Dynamic DCA you can check that video out
in the playlist but the harar foundation
put this out it said today we witness
real world asset history as BL black
rocks US Treasury money market fund or
MMF is tokenized on hadera now that
part’s true this was done
by ARCA X and owner AIO making a major
Milestone on Asset Management bring the
world’s largest asset manager on CH
which I got tell you when I saw this I’m
like well I should probably buy some
haera because this only makes sense
right this whole Market if you haven’t
figured this out is mostly moved by
sentiment and even though people say
what smart money says smart money
doesn’t know what they’re doing smart
money is also emotional as well not all
of them but I can tell you I’ve met a
lot of smart money people and they’re
not any smarter than you I can tell you
that speaking of
this this came out H H bar up 96% after
a misinterpreted Black Rock announcement
and here we go a misinterpreted
Announcement by the H Foundation
suggested that black rocks ic’s treasury
fund was tokenized on the hia blockchain
in partnership with RX and oner
leading to a significant
misunderstanding and a 96% increase into
H bar however Black Rock had no Direct
involvements in the tokenization process
as clarified by I guess cardono ghost
fund Chris o Conor who criticized the
way the announcement was framed
emphasizing that the misinterpret
misinterpretation caused unwarranted
excitement among influencers that’s me
that’s
true and this was actually put out as
well coin Telegraph says hey even though
this Happ
happened ARX co-founder and CEO Graham
ruford said it was indeed an ARX choice
to put black rocks fun on Adera but
everyone involved was aware I’m not
going to speculate I don’t have I mean
that’s what we’re here for speculating
and I’ll let’s be honest but the way it
was framed it seemed like there was
direct involvement that really wasn’t
what it was I put this out and I said
hey I bought a dere I bought a dare an
hour ago the news broke that they’re
doing real world assle Black Rock whole
industry is Nar driven this was April
23rd yesterday and then when I saw that
article and them talking about it and
andera keeps keeps the hadera foundation
keeps putting it out which is if they
want to do that that’s fine but that’s
not for me I sold it all so not my
finest moment but I’m not going to
support something like that and it may
work out for them I can say but just be
aware that when news comes out and
things like that we can do our research
right people say do your own research
everything else well that came from the
foundation if they’re going to word it
like that it seems a little bit funny so
for
me not a good idea to uh get into that
but I got to tell you I mean was a nice
profit in 24 hours now could a go to the
Moon sure I guess I don’t really that’s
that’s fine and if you want hadera cash
ref you can tell me uh how great it is
and how it’s going to do well and I I’ll
probably agree with you because like
I’ve said before in the bull run
everything goes off and uh Adera could
be know different but uh for me I’m not
going to stick around with this one as
just there’s some ways that it was said
and I’m just not a big fan of those
situations so there’s that piece and
then to wrap this
up
SEC so in the title I said the SEC won
well they didn’t they lost but they
still win I’m GNA tell you why and this
I’m not going to go over this very quick
I’ll go this real quickly the SEC faces
the big Court bill after sanctions debt
box says they have spent nearly 3/4 of a
million dollars fighting the sec’s
claims you don’t remember this one this
is where the SEC it was two specific
lawyers who have already stepped down
from the SEC stated that debt box was
transferring all funds out of the
country that was untrue they knew it was
untrue they actually transferred funds
from One Bank in the United States to
another bank in the United States and
they made them freeze their accounts
even though they knew that was wrong and
those two lawyers stepped down I’m not
here to say that the SEC is totally
corrupt but those two guys stepped
outside the boundaries
so they’re going to face sanctions and
when I say that the SEC wins it’s
because of this who you think’s going to
pay that bill 34 of a million does it
come out of Gary’s pocket I don’t think
so it’s come out of our pockets and
that’s how the beauty of taxes work and
and people will say well taxes are very
important so we can uh build Bridges and
uh build roads and that’s what uh funds
the whole ecos not gonna argue with that
as well but I’m just saying that when we
pay taxes and they’re mismanaged and of
course the three-letter agency of the
SEC is going against those exchanges
that of course are what would be good
for us I don’t know about Deb box but
these are the things that happened so
congratulations to the SEC even though
you lost you won because they have
unlimited Pockets from taxes and then
lastly three years and this is from
actually this is this is the Department
of
Justice uh
US Department of Justice is recommending
a 36-month prison sentence
for Chang
Pena
CZ binance and that is scheduled for
April 30th now CZ has already come out
and said look I was wrong and I should
have uh been a little bit more
forthcoming as far as the AML and kyc
process but uh this is where we’re at
and um we’ll see what happens but 3
years and you can read it I’ll you can
just follow me on on X and you can find
this out but
again that’s where the tax dollars go
and that’s what we have so that’s it for
today so look like today’s video give it
a thumbs up consider subscribing we talk
about it’s time sensitive tomorrow um is
NFA live me Ben and the cryptoverse and
be Jessica from coin Bureau as we talk a
little bit
about who knows what we’ll talk about
but that’ll be tomorrow for the live
stream 9:00 a.m. eastern ten time but
that’s it for today so again you got to
take off take off
Investing in crypto is risky but over the long haul and ESPECIALLY after the halving, even the losers can be winners. Also, the SEC is a winner even though it lost and about that HBAR / Blackrock connection…
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Intro (0:00)
Bitcoin price drop (0:12)
Top 10 coins in May 2020 (2:22)
Performance of the top 10 coins since May 2020 (4:10)
Importance of time in the market (7:21)
Bitcoin holdings over time (9:23)
Impact of grayscale on Bitcoin (9:42)
Macroeconomics and money printing (11:12)
HBAR news and price increase (13:21)
SEC lawsuit against Debix (15:02)
DOJ recommending prison sentence for CZ (16:12)
Outro (17:32)
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16 Comments
PRIVACY COIN ZCASH❣️🌐🚀🔐
And the BTC "halving" has been a huge NOTHING-BURGER so far….so much for all the Hype and Hopium so many "experts" were pushing at that time!! ;-(
I've been a buyer and HODLer since 2018, so I'm NOT new to Crypto….just tired of the Hype and Hopium being spread around as fact. Yes it will rise again
but the last push just before the Halving was a joke. Too many of these "experts" pushing times and dates need to lay off the Hype and "date" pushing. smh
Election year. Big time money laundering, er… printing coming to a Fed near you soon !
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Just pressed play…. just wanted to say thanks for being a straight shooter ever since I found your channel last cycle. I appreciate your content brother Dan.
It’s easy to get drawn in to putting your profits back in.
13:25 the only assumption is that they turn the money printer on. Which is what we believe is inevitable, but is that possible that we are wrong about this ? I think it is important to consider that they dont turn it on, even if you consider at a very low % chance.
If we hit 80 by year’s end it will be a miracle.
Huge bugs today are in the DEX
I showed in a video!!! It's giving x 9 the crypto
There isn't going to be a big bull run or parabolic move this cycle. Everybody is just sitting around waiting for it to happen. When most people think something will happen, it usually doesn't happen
In the spirit of free speech, has everyone watched the WHO KILLED BITCOIN documentary on YT ?
Thank you, Rob 🙏🏻
A Sam Bankman Fried incident just happend. That's what hit the market. Major arrest of ceypto mixer ceos
Good stuff as always Rob – hope you can make it by the party Saturday night!
A solid goto channel for crypto. ❤
US treasury just announced they cant account for 3.8T