Is it a good time to take profits right now and then sit on a cash position until the oil shock kind of settles down?
I'm concerned that this is a run-up before a sell-off. in the past we have seen pretty significant dips when there has been some kind of conflict and then followed by a recovery however in this case it seems to be a climb but with no news to support it.
I know random internet advice isn't necessarily the best but what is everybody else thinking?
Posted by Patereye
33 Comments
Nobody knows your cost basis, your timeline, risk preference, or what the rest of your portfolio looks like.
Any advice given here is out of their ass
a 2nd round of talk is possible, this is likely part of the reason for a runup.
Trump threatening WW3 and destroying the oil market is priced in. We’re not seeing a bear market until Mag 7 can’t return on investments in AI
I would never “take profits and sit on a cash position” regardless of what’s going on, no
Whenever there is a dip you have these people who cashed out waiting, waiting, waiting for the best time to get back in, waiting for certainty that it won’t go down again and create a more lucrative buying opportunity. Newslash: there will never, ever be certainty that markets won’t go down again. The smart play is to ride out these fluctuations, not to game them
Yes timing the market is a great idea. Works every time!
Nobody knows, but my irrelevant guess is that this smells an awful lot like a blow off top.
Oil shock/inflation/recession could take months to come to fruition. The market shrugged off PPI and CPI so I think we rally near ATH then make a decision.
Nobody knows what’s going to happen. If you have the itch to take profits then do it. Profit is profit, even if it could’ve been higher if you held on longer. My personal rule is to only sell if I need the money for whatever reason, and I never panic sell. Other than that I hold, even during dips and worse.
Selling on the verge of earnings season? I’d hold a little longer tbh
USD is down today.
redditors will never learn sigh
I took all profits and ran, this is way too overvalued
In a logical market, oil would still be rising for an inevitable crisis in the coming weeks (even if war is resolved tomorrow). The S&P should drop from the effects of an oil shortage and this baseless pump to all time highs should fall hard. But who the hell knows what MMs are doing behind the scenes and I can’t accurately predict anything this month.
That being said I’m about 1/3 cash at the moment waiting for a decent drop when an oil shock actually hits.
Long term investments: no, don’t take profits. Don’t do anything.
Fun money/trading money: yes. Makes sense to start taking profits. If you lose some upside, so what.
Clearly not invested in $ASTS 😭
Sitting on cash is for investors who don’t understand the market.
You can’t beat the market, you can’t buy the dip and sell the top.
If you find the right company based on your thesis, make DCA and you’ll win in the long term.
AI semicon will lead the way till 2029
Blockading Iran actually applies economic pressure on Iran to come to the table. Market liked the idea.
Alternatively, imagine that the bottom was just in and we’re going to go another 20% up before another major downturn.
Bad news is always overblown and markets are forward looking anyways. Zoom out and it always goes up.
Could consider selling a little bit of your positions to have some cash ready to jump in on something you’ve been eyeing when things come back down. Who knows what’ll happen in the next few weeks/months. It’s nice to see green, but that Strait has got everyone up in a tizzy at the moment.
Do you need the money to live? If no, why would you sell unless you are trying to time the market? If trying to time the market you will lose.
If your 70 years old….maybe. If you are under 60 just invest and wait.
Are you in trades or long term investments? If you’re trading I’d at least trim some of your position and leave some runners. Most likely some headline bombs this week centering around Iran which could catapult the market either way. If you’re in investments, ignore your P/L and ask yourself why sell now? Fundamentally, has the news events of these past few weeks changed anything about why you bought and what price you bought it for?
When you stat admiring your portfolio it means its about to go down
Eh, I don’t buy any of this. But I’ve been wrong before.
If you agree that the market is irrational seeing as how it is going up when there nothing good has occurred
it would also mean that once the war ends then the sell off will begin
According to redditors you should buy puts.
time in the market rather timing it.. also trump is going to make sure market is good atleast till his midterm
I am considering selling to add more cash to my house fund, but it would only be 5% of my total portfolio not currently set aside for the house.
I don’t understand the market well enough to sell anything confidently lol. I’m just gonna keep buying dips
Besides asts
I’m putting in tight stop losses personally. Still taking profits outright wouldn’t be a bad idea.