Bitcoin: 75K Short Squeeze, Here Is What Comes Next
Bitcoin just ripped from 70K to 75K on Trump’s Iran comments and over 430 million dollars in short positions got liquidated in 24 hours. Every permabull on YouTube is back calling for a new bull market. I don’t agree. In this video I walk through exactly why this rally does not change my thesis, what the macro environment actually looks like underneath the news, and what would need to happen for Bitcoin to actually become bullish from a structural standpoint.
This is an Elliott Wave Analysis.
00:00 Bitcoin Rips To 75K On Trump Iran Comments
00:45 The News Context: Short Squeeze And Peace Talks
02:00 ETF Inflows Surging And The Debasement Hedge Thesis
03:24 The Catalyst Changed But The Structure Did Not
03:45 Daily Chart: Still In The Corrective Bounce
04:30 The 2022 Fractal And Why It Matters
05:30 The Q2 Forecast And The B Wave Extending
06:44 On Chain Indicators: NUPL And LTH Realized Price
07:30 NUPL Explained With Simple Analogy
09:00 LTH Realized Price At 44K
09:49 Why These Indicators Did Not Call The Top (Honest Answer)
11:30 Elliott Wave Is The Leading Indicator
12:37 Microstructure And The Five Wave Move From March
13:30 Key Resistance Zone: 76K To 80K
14:30 Key Support At 72.7K And What To Watch
15:21 Counter Trend Rallies Are Choppy
16:00 Closing And What Comes Next
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33 Comments
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The trader who got liquidated for $12 million on bitcoin needs to follow and subscribe to your channel π we all knew this. Thanks Ben!
Thank you!
Great quality
Please keep in mind, that the fear & greed index has reached 58 today. That was the level before the last two crashes…
Dear sir, what is the relationship of BTC with DXy?
Ben youβre correct that we havenβt bottomed but then a lot of indicators indicating bitcoin top also didnβt get triggerred last year , how can we trust all this now ?
π
below LTH the long term holders are not capitulating, they are BUYING it all from the trade degens who are capitulating
I just asked Gemini where is 21 weekly EMA and it says its at 70000.I am bit confused.I am just learning about Elliot wave theory and i really like your content.Keep up the good work
And who is screaming that bull market is back π€π€ perhaps fools orβ¦.
I don't have a problem with this bear market. Previous bullmarket was disaster. Btc went from 2021th highs only up 80% in 4 years and altcoins never recover.
Es wΓ€re schΓΆn wenn sie die Γbersetzung in deutsch freischalten kΓΆnnten ..
"I know we're all in pain, but not enough" π
Don't you think the MEDIAN instead of the average of the short term holders would be more reliable as resistance?
I dont know but i know surely under 59k coming in few months or days
Look like 90k test
Great content. Very interesting. We'll see how it all plays out.. very exciting either way β€π thank you
14:02 today ur so mad at us πππβ€οΈ
Love the new style of videos Ben!! Macro context provides so much value
Excellent analysis.
I was looking at the monthly RSI and itβs showing bearish divergence. Additionally, we are ranging in a similar zone to the previous bull market for the first timeβthatβs never happened before.
The fact that NUPL hasn't reached the 'Greed' zone yet might suggest that BTC is nearing a top. The monthly RSI doesn't seem to allow for prices much higher than $140k, which would align with the theory of BTC having diminishing returns.
Well said π
Thank you, Ben, your analysis guided me well π
Realy good Update!!!!!!!
Great quality. . π!! π!! π·
I also donβt buy the bull thesis and think we hit max 90k-ish before retesting lows. However, this is the first cycle that weβve had such a strong institutional bid. I expect the trough to be as high as the highs were low.
It's like a sit com Trump tweet catalys world. LOL
I remember last bear market that it was always the case that there would come another low and it takes longer then u think so i agree with ur theory
Awesome! Really appreciate your timely wisdom.
Ben where did you learn Elliott wave theory from?
bro entered flow state
Elliot wave probably :D, Nice Ben hehe!